Guardforce Ai Co Stock Performance

GFAIW Stock  USD 0.07  0.01  12.63%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.53, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Guardforce are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Guardforce is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Guardforce AI has a negative expected return of -0.18%. Please make sure to check out Guardforce's coefficient of variation, semi variance, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to decide if Guardforce AI performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Guardforce AI Co has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest unsteady performance, the Stock's forward indicators remain stable and the latest fuss on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-term gains for the venture sophisticated investors. ...more
1
Chart Watch Will Guardforce AI Co Limited stock split attract more investors - July 2025 Recap Fast Moving Market Watchlists - moha.gov.vn
12/11/2025
2
AI speech therapy platform for 110,000 patients in Guardforces sights - stocktitan.net
02/09/2026
3
Guardforce AI Announces Share Repurchase Program
02/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow20.3 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities200.4 K

Guardforce Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12.00  in Guardforce AI Co on December 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (5.01) from holding Guardforce AI Co or give up 41.75% of portfolio value over 90 days. Guardforce AI Co is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 13.6018% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Guardforce, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guardforce is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 17.73 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.04 per unit of volatility.

Guardforce Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Guardforce Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.07 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guardforce to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Guardforce AI Co probability density function shows the probability of Guardforce Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guardforce AI Co has a beta of -0.53. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Guardforce are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Guardforce AI Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Guardforce AI Co has an alpha of 0.3902, implying that it can generate a 0.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Guardforce Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Guardforce

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guardforce AI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0713.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0713.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.0713.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.130.070.08
Details

Guardforce Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guardforce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guardforce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guardforce AI Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guardforce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.53
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Guardforce Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guardforce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guardforce AI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guardforce AI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Guardforce AI has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Guardforce AI has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Guardforce AI has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 36.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.97 M.
Guardforce generates negative cash flow from operations
Guardforce AI has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Guardforce AI Announces Share Repurchase Program

Guardforce Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Guardforce Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Guardforce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guardforce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments21.9 M

Guardforce Fundamentals Growth

Guardforce Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guardforce, and Guardforce fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guardforce Stock performance.

About Guardforce Performance

Evaluating Guardforce's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Guardforce has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guardforce has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 5.41  5.14 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.16)(0.17)
Return On Capital Employed(0.20)(0.21)
Return On Assets(0.15)(0.16)
Return On Equity(0.21)(0.22)

Things to note about Guardforce AI performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guardforce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Guardforce AI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guardforce AI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Guardforce AI has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Guardforce AI has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Guardforce AI has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 36.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.97 M.
Guardforce generates negative cash flow from operations
Guardforce AI has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Guardforce AI Announces Share Repurchase Program
Evaluating Guardforce's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guardforce's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Guardforce's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guardforce's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guardforce's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guardforce's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guardforce's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guardforce's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Guardforce's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guardforce's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guardforce's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Guardforce Stock Analysis

When running Guardforce's price analysis, check to measure Guardforce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guardforce is operating at the current time. Most of Guardforce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guardforce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guardforce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guardforce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.