GPS Participaes (Brazil) Performance

GGPS3 Stock   18.82  0.23  1.21%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, GPS Participaes holds a performance score of 8. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0351, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, GPS Participaes' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding GPS Participaes is expected to be smaller as well. Please check GPS Participaes' sortino ratio, potential upside, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and semi variance , to make a quick decision on whether GPS Participaes' current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in GPS Participaes e are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of comparatively uncertain basic indicators, GPS Participaes unveiled solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow731.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.3 B
  

GPS Participaes Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,685  in GPS Participaes e on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  197.00  from holding GPS Participaes e or generate 11.69% return on investment over 90 days. GPS Participaes e is generating 0.2046% of daily returns and assumes 2.0136% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 18% of stocks are less volatile than GPS, and 96% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GPS Participaes is expected to generate 2.67 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.67 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

GPS Participaes Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of GPS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 18.82 90 days 18.82 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of GPS Participaes to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This GPS Participaes e probability density function shows the probability of GPS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon GPS Participaes has a beta of 0.0351. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, GPS Participaes average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding GPS Participaes e will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally GPS Participaes e has an alpha of 0.2261, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   GPS Participaes Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for GPS Participaes

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GPS Participaes e. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.0319.0521.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.1718.1820.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.5919.6221.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.0916.9218.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GPS Participaes. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GPS Participaes' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GPS Participaes' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GPS Participaes e.

GPS Participaes Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. GPS Participaes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the GPS Participaes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold GPS Participaes e, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of GPS Participaes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.64
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

GPS Participaes Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of GPS Participaes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for GPS Participaes e can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

GPS Participaes Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of GPS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential GPS Participaes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GPS Participaes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding667.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

GPS Participaes Fundamentals Growth

GPS Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of GPS Participaes, and GPS Participaes fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on GPS Stock performance.

About GPS Participaes Performance

Assessing GPS Participaes' fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into GPS Participaes' financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the GPS Participaes is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.

Things to note about GPS Participaes e performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about GPS Participaes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for GPS Participaes e help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Evaluating GPS Participaes' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate GPS Participaes' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing GPS Participaes' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether GPS Participaes' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining GPS Participaes' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating GPS Participaes' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of GPS Participaes' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of GPS Participaes' stock. These opinions can provide insight into GPS Participaes' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating GPS Participaes' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact GPS Participaes' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for GPS Stock Analysis

When running GPS Participaes' price analysis, check to measure GPS Participaes' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GPS Participaes is operating at the current time. Most of GPS Participaes' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GPS Participaes' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GPS Participaes' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GPS Participaes to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.