Guardforce Ai Co Stock Performance

GRDAF Stock  USD 0.05  0  7.43%   
Guardforce holds a performance score of 9 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.78, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Guardforce are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Guardforce is likely to outperform the market. Use Guardforce AI Co semi deviation, sortino ratio, semi variance, as well as the relationship between the standard deviation and value at risk , to analyze future returns on Guardforce AI Co.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Guardforce AI Co are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly unsteady basic indicators, Guardforce reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow10.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-957 K
  

Guardforce Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3.40  in Guardforce AI Co on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  2.08  from holding Guardforce AI Co or generate 61.18% return on investment over 90 days. Guardforce AI Co is currently producing 1.3212% returns and takes up 11.0957% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 99% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Guardforce, and 74% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guardforce is expected to generate 14.97 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 14.97 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Guardforce Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Guardforce Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.05 90 days 0.05 
about 36.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guardforce to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 36.46 (This Guardforce AI Co probability density function shows the probability of Guardforce Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guardforce AI Co has a beta of -0.78. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Guardforce are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Guardforce AI Co is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Guardforce AI Co has an alpha of 1.5814, implying that it can generate a 1.58 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Guardforce Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Guardforce

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guardforce AI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0511.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0411.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.0511.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.050.070.08
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Guardforce. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Guardforce's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Guardforce's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Guardforce AI.

Guardforce Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guardforce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guardforce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guardforce AI Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guardforce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.58
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.78
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Guardforce Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guardforce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guardforce AI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guardforce AI is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Guardforce AI has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Guardforce AI appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Guardforce AI has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 37.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.2 M.
Guardforce AI Co has accumulated about 2.33 M in cash with (1.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
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Guardforce Fundamentals Growth

Guardforce Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guardforce, and Guardforce fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guardforce Pink Sheet performance.

About Guardforce Performance

By analyzing Guardforce's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Guardforce's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Guardforce has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guardforce has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
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Things to note about Guardforce AI performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guardforce for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Guardforce AI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Guardforce AI is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Guardforce AI has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Guardforce AI appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Guardforce AI has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 37.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.26 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.2 M.
Guardforce AI Co has accumulated about 2.33 M in cash with (1.11 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.08, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
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Evaluating Guardforce's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guardforce's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Guardforce's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guardforce's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guardforce's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guardforce's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guardforce's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guardforce's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Guardforce's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guardforce's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guardforce's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Guardforce Pink Sheet analysis

When running Guardforce's price analysis, check to measure Guardforce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guardforce is operating at the current time. Most of Guardforce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guardforce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guardforce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guardforce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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