Garmin Stock Performance

GRMN Stock  USD 201.64  3.01  1.47%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.17, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Garmin will likely underperform. At this point, Garmin has a negative expected return of -0.0542%. Please make sure to check out Garmin's treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Garmin performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Garmin has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy primary indicators, Garmin is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(1.47)
Five Day Return
(1.73)
Year To Date Return
(0.40)
Ten Year Return
474.64
All Time Return
1.9 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0176
Payout Ratio
0.4218
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
3.6
Dividend Date
2026-03-27
 
Garmin dividend paid on 26th of December 2025
12/26/2025
1
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2
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3
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01/21/2026
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01/22/2026
7
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01/23/2026
8
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01/26/2026
9
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01/27/2026
10
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Begin Period Cash Flow1.7 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-393.3 M

Garmin Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  20,964  in Garmin on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (800.00) from holding Garmin or give up 3.82% of portfolio value over 90 days. Garmin is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.393% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Garmin, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Garmin is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.86 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.04 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Garmin Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Garmin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 201.64 90 days 201.64 
about 61.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Garmin to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 61.87 (This Garmin probability density function shows the probability of Garmin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.17 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Garmin will likely underperform. Additionally Garmin has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Garmin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Garmin

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Garmin. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
200.33201.72203.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
181.48218.07219.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
196.92198.31199.70
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
214.08235.25261.13
Details

Garmin Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Garmin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Garmin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Garmin, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Garmin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.17
σ
Overall volatility
11.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Garmin Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Garmin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Garmin can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Garmin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Garmin is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Garmin has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 26th of December 2025 Garmin paid $ 0.9 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Infosys erweitert seine Prsenz in der Schweiz mit neuem Bro in Zrich - Fokus liegt darauf, Enterprise-AI schneller in Unternehmen einzufhren

Garmin Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Garmin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Garmin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Garmin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding193.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 B

Garmin Fundamentals Growth

Garmin Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Garmin, and Garmin fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Garmin Stock performance.

About Garmin Performance

By examining Garmin's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Garmin's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Garmin is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 198.87  118.05 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.19  0.20 
Return On Capital Employed 0.17  0.25 
Return On Assets 0.17  0.19 
Return On Equity 0.21  0.24 

Things to note about Garmin performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Garmin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Garmin help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Garmin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Garmin is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Garmin has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 26th of December 2025 Garmin paid $ 0.9 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Infosys erweitert seine Prsenz in der Schweiz mit neuem Bro in Zrich - Fokus liegt darauf, Enterprise-AI schneller in Unternehmen einzufhren
Evaluating Garmin's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Garmin's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Garmin's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Garmin's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Garmin's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Garmin's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Garmin's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Garmin's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Garmin's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Garmin's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Garmin's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Garmin offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Garmin's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Garmin Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Garmin Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Garmin. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
To learn how to invest in Garmin Stock, please use our How to Invest in Garmin guide.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Will Consumer Electronics sector continue expanding? Could Garmin diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Garmin. Market participants price Garmin higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Garmin data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.005
Dividend Share
3.6
Earnings Share
8.1
Revenue Per Share
36.087
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.117
Garmin's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Garmin's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Garmin's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Garmin's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Garmin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Garmin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Garmin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.