Granite Ridge Resources Stock Performance

GRNT Stock  USD 4.92  0.14  2.93%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0907, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Granite Ridge are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Granite Ridge is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Granite Ridge Resources has a negative expected return of -0.0534%. Please make sure to check out Granite Ridge's total risk alpha, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and price action indicator , to decide if Granite Ridge Resources performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Granite Ridge Resources has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of comparatively stable basic indicators, Granite Ridge is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price uproar, may contribute to short-horizon losses for the private investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.21)
Five Day Return
2.36
Year To Date Return
2.14
Ten Year Return
(51.86)
All Time Return
(51.86)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0921
Payout Ratio
0.0157
Last Split Factor
2499:1000
Forward Dividend Rate
0.44
Dividend Date
2025-12-15
1
Acquisition by Mccartney John of 4000 shares of Granite Ridge at 5.17 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/13/2025
2
Acquisition by Mccartney John of 4000 shares of Granite Ridge at 5.07 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/18/2025
3
Technical Reactions to GRNT Trends in Macro Strategies - news.stocktradersdaily.com
11/28/2025
4
Acquisition by Miller Matthew Reade of 9388 shares of Granite Ridge at 5.33 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/04/2025
5
Acquisition by Mccartney John of 5000 shares of Granite Ridge at 5.26 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/08/2025
6
Granite Ridge Resources Director John Mccartney Purchases 5,000 Shares of Stock
12/10/2025
7
Granite Ridge Resources Trading Down 5.1 percent - Heres Why - MarketBeat
12/12/2025
 
Granite Ridge dividend paid on 15th of December 2025
12/15/2025
8
Conduit Power to Develop 200 MW of Distributed Generation in ERCOT Secures Diamondback Energy and Granite Ridge Resources as Financial Partners
12/17/2025
9
Acquisition by Miller Matthew Reade of 89 shares of Granite Ridge subject to Rule 16b-3
12/31/2025
10
Granite Ridge Resources Hits New 52-Week Low Whats Next
01/05/2026
11
Granite Ridge Resources Stock Price Up 0.3 percent - Should You Buy - MarketBeat
01/27/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow10.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-310.8 M

Granite Ridge Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  517.00  in Granite Ridge Resources on October 31, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (25.00) from holding Granite Ridge Resources or give up 4.84% of portfolio value over 90 days. Granite Ridge Resources is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.3734% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 21% of stocks are less volatile than Granite, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Granite Ridge is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.02 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Granite Ridge Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Granite Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.92 90 days 4.92 
about 46.02
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Granite Ridge to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 46.02 (This Granite Ridge Resources probability density function shows the probability of Granite Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Granite Ridge Resources has a beta of -0.0907. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Granite Ridge are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Granite Ridge Resources is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Granite Ridge Resources has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Granite Ridge Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Granite Ridge

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Granite Ridge Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.544.917.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.875.247.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.624.997.35
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.826.407.10
Details

Granite Ridge Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Granite Ridge is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Granite Ridge's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Granite Ridge Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Granite Ridge within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.30
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Granite Ridge Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Granite Ridge for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Granite Ridge Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Granite Ridge generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Granite Ridge Resources currently holds 205 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Granite Ridge Resources has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Granite Ridge's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 81.0% of Granite Ridge shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of December 2025 Granite Ridge paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Granite Ridge Resources Stock Price Up 0.3 percent - Should You Buy - MarketBeat

Granite Ridge Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Granite Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Granite Ridge's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Granite Ridge's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding130.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments41.2 M

Granite Ridge Fundamentals Growth

Granite Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Granite Ridge, and Granite Ridge fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Granite Stock performance.

About Granite Ridge Performance

Assessing Granite Ridge's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Granite Ridge's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Granite Ridge is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.03  0.03 

Things to note about Granite Ridge Resources performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Granite Ridge for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Granite Ridge Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Granite Ridge generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Granite Ridge Resources currently holds 205 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Granite Ridge Resources has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Granite Ridge's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Over 81.0% of Granite Ridge shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of December 2025 Granite Ridge paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Granite Ridge Resources Stock Price Up 0.3 percent - Should You Buy - MarketBeat
Evaluating Granite Ridge's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Granite Ridge's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Granite Ridge's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Granite Ridge's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Granite Ridge's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Granite Ridge's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Granite Ridge's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Granite Ridge's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Granite Ridge's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Granite Ridge's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Granite Ridge's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Granite Stock Analysis

When running Granite Ridge's price analysis, check to measure Granite Ridge's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Granite Ridge is operating at the current time. Most of Granite Ridge's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Granite Ridge's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Granite Ridge's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Granite Ridge to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.