Small Cap Equity Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GSCZX Fund  USD 17.78  0.03  0.17%   
The entity has a beta of 1.14, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Small Cap returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Small Cap is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Small Cap Equity are ranked lower than 14 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Small Cap showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2025
Expense Ratio1.2300
  

Small Cap Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,461  in Small Cap Equity on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  317.00  from holding Small Cap Equity or generate 21.7% return on investment over 90 days. Small Cap Equity is currently producing 0.3379% returns and takes up 1.8204% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 16% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Small, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Small Cap is expected to generate 2.44 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.44 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.19 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Small Cap Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
17.78
Please note that Small Cap's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be undervalued. Small Cap Equity has a current Real Value of $18.86 per share. The regular price of the fund is $17.78. We determine the value of Small Cap Equity from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since Small Cap is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Small Mutual Fund. However, Small Cap's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  17.78 Real  18.86 Hype  17.78 Naive  17.91
The intrinsic value of Small Cap's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Small Cap's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
18.86
Real Value
20.68
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Small Cap Equity helps investors to forecast how Small mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Small Cap more accurately as focusing exclusively on Small Cap's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.8217.5618.30
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.9617.7819.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.0917.9119.73
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Small Cap Equity extending back to September 13, 2005. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Small Cap stands at 17.78, as last reported on the 31st of January, with the highest price reaching 17.78 and the lowest price hitting 17.78 during the day.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Small Cap Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Small Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.78 90 days 17.78 
about 12.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Small Cap to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.88 (This Small Cap Equity probability density function shows the probability of Small Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.14 . This usually indicates Small Cap Equity market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Small Cap is expected to follow. Additionally Small Cap Equity has an alpha of 0.2224, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Small Cap Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Small Cap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Small Cap Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.9617.7819.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.0418.8620.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.0917.9119.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.8217.5618.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Small Cap. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Small Cap's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Small Cap's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Small Cap Equity.

Small Cap Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Small Cap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Small Cap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Small Cap Equity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Small Cap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.14
σ
Overall volatility
1.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Small Cap Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Small Cap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Small Cap Equity can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 96.55% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Small Cap Fundamentals Growth

Small Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Small Cap, and Small Cap fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Small Mutual Fund performance.

About Small Cap Performance

Evaluating Small Cap's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Small Cap has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Small Cap has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests mainly in equity securities, which may include stock, stock futures, rights, warrants or securities convertible into stock, of U.S. companies that, at the time of purchase, are in the small capitalization segment of the U.S. equity market, generally consistent with the capitalization range of companies comprising the Russell 2000 Index.

Things to note about Small Cap Equity performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Small Cap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Small Cap Equity help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains 96.55% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Small Cap's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Small Cap's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Small Cap's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Small Cap's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Small Cap's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Small Cap's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Small Cap's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Small Cap's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Small Cap's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Small Cap's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Small Cap's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Small Mutual Fund

Small Cap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Small Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Small with respect to the benefits of owning Small Cap security.
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