Rational Dividend Capture Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

HDCAX Fund  USD 9.62  0.02  0.21%   
The fund holds a Beta of -0.0651, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Rational Dividend are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Rational Dividend is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

10 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Rational Dividend Capture are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Rational Dividend is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2023
Expense Ratio1.7500
  

Rational Dividend Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  911.00  in Rational Dividend Capture on August 28, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  51.00  from holding Rational Dividend Capture or generate 5.6% return on investment over 90 days. Rational Dividend Capture is currently producing 0.0885% returns and takes up 0.6391% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 5% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Rational, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rational Dividend is expected to generate 1.56 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.22 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.18 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Rational Dividend Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
9.62
Please note that Rational Dividend's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Rational Dividend Capture holds a recent Real Value of $9.53 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $9.62. We determine the value of Rational Dividend Capture from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Rational Dividend is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Rational Mutual Fund. However, Rational Dividend's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.62 Real  9.53 Hype  9.62 Naive  9.59
The intrinsic value of Rational Dividend's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Rational Dividend's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
9.53
Real Value
10.17
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Rational Dividend Capture helps investors to forecast how Rational mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Rational Dividend more accurately as focusing exclusively on Rational Dividend's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.469.569.66
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.989.6210.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.959.5910.23
Details

Rational Dividend Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Rational Dividend's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Rational Dividend Capture, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Rational Dividend's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1385

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Estimated Market Risk

 0.64
  actual daily
5
95% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.09
  actual daily
1
99% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.14
  actual daily
10
90% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Rational Dividend is performing at about 10% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Rational Dividend by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Rational Dividend Fundamentals Growth

Rational Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rational Dividend, and Rational Dividend fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rational Mutual Fund performance.

About Rational Dividend Performance

Evaluating Rational Dividend's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Rational Dividend has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Rational Dividend has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus the amount of borrowings for investment purposes, in equity securities. It seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing primarily in the common stock of dividend paying companies included within the SP 500 Index. The fund may also invest in exchange traded funds .

Things to note about Rational Dividend Capture performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rational Dividend for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Rational Dividend Capture help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 12.33% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Rational Dividend's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Rational Dividend's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Rational Dividend's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rational Dividend's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Rational Dividend's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Rational Dividend's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rational Dividend's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rational Dividend's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Rational Dividend's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Rational Dividend's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Rational Dividend's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Rational Mutual Fund

Rational Dividend financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rational Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rational with respect to the benefits of owning Rational Dividend security.
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