Proshares Hedge Replication Etf Performance

HDG Etf  USD 52.54  0.05  0.1%   
The etf holds a Beta of 0.078, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, ProShares Hedge's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ProShares Hedge is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in ProShares Hedge Replication are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly stable fundamental indicators, ProShares Hedge is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
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ProShares Hedge Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,131  in ProShares Hedge Replication on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  123.00  from holding ProShares Hedge Replication or generate 2.4% return on investment over 90 days. ProShares Hedge Replication is generating 0.0393% of daily returns assuming volatility of 0.3107% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 2% of etfs are less volatile than ProShares, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Hedge is expected to generate 1.6 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 2.42 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for ProShares Hedge Replication extending back to July 14, 2011. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of ProShares Hedge stands at 52.54, as last reported on the 30th of January, with the highest price reaching 52.67 and the lowest price hitting 52.45 during the day.
3 y Volatility
4.38
200 Day MA
50.5476
1 y Volatility
3.68
50 Day MA
51.8346
Inception Date
2011-07-12
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

ProShares Hedge Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of ProShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 52.54 90 days 52.54 
roughly 2.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ProShares Hedge to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.72 (This ProShares Hedge Replication probability density function shows the probability of ProShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ProShares Hedge has a beta of 0.078. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, ProShares Hedge average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ProShares Hedge Replication will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ProShares Hedge Replication has an alpha of 0.0218, implying that it can generate a 0.0218 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ProShares Hedge Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ProShares Hedge

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProShares Hedge Repl. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProShares Hedge's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.2452.5552.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.9752.2852.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
52.1152.4252.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
51.4952.1752.85
Details

ProShares Hedge Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ProShares Hedge is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ProShares Hedge's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ProShares Hedge Replication, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ProShares Hedge within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

ProShares Hedge Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ProShares Hedge for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ProShares Hedge Repl can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

ProShares Hedge Fundamentals Growth

ProShares Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of ProShares Hedge, and ProShares Hedge fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on ProShares Etf performance.

About ProShares Hedge Performance

By analyzing ProShares Hedge's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into ProShares Hedge's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if ProShares Hedge has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if ProShares Hedge has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The fund invests in financial instruments that ProShare Advisors believes, in combination, should track the performance of the benchmark. Hedge Replication is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
When determining whether ProShares Hedge Repl is a strong investment it is important to analyze ProShares Hedge's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ProShares Hedge's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ProShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ProShares Hedge Replication. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Understanding ProShares Hedge Repl requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects ProShares's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what ProShares Hedge's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push ProShares Hedge's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Hedge's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares Hedge is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, ProShares Hedge's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.