First Helium Stock Performance

HELI Stock   0.03  0.01  16.67%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.2, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Helium are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, First Helium is expected to outperform it. At this point, First Helium has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to confirm First Helium's treynor ratio, value at risk, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to decide if First Helium performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Weak
 
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Over the last 90 days First Helium has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest abnormal performance, the Stock's essential indicators remain stable and the latest fuss on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-term gains for the venture sophisticated investors. ...more
1
Can First Helium Inc. stock sustain double digit ROE - July 2025 Patterns High Accuracy Swing Trade Signals -
12/18/2025
2
Helix moves closer to first helium production at Rudyard - Sharecast.com
12/22/2025
3
Blue Star Helium Delivers First Production at Galactica and Ramps Up Colorado Operations - TipRanks
01/29/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow157.8 K
Free Cash Flow-2.2 M
  

First Helium Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3.50  in First Helium on November 27, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1.00) from holding First Helium or give up 28.57% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Helium is producing return of less than zero assuming 9.3005% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 83% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than First Helium, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Helium is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 12.17 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

First Helium Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.03 
about 92.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Helium to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.98 (This First Helium probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Helium has a beta of -1.2. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding First Helium are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, First Helium is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally First Helium has an alpha of 0.2786, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Helium Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Helium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Helium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.039.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.029.32
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00060.039.33
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.030.030.03
Details

First Helium Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Helium is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Helium's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Helium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Helium within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.2
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

First Helium Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Helium for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Helium can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Helium generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
First Helium has high historical volatility and very poor performance
First Helium has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
First Helium has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 293 K. Net Loss for the year was (6.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
First Helium generates negative cash flow from operations
About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Blue Star Helium Delivers First Production at Galactica and Ramps Up Colorado Operations - TipRanks

First Helium Fundamentals Growth

First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Helium, and First Helium fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.

About First Helium Performance

Evaluating First Helium's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if First Helium has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Helium has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand1.9 M1.7 M
Return On Tangible Assets(0.47)(0.44)
Return On Capital Employed(0.20)(0.18)
Return On Assets(0.47)(0.44)
Return On Equity(0.67)(0.71)

Things to note about First Helium performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Helium for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for First Helium help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Helium generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
First Helium has high historical volatility and very poor performance
First Helium has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
First Helium has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 293 K. Net Loss for the year was (6.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
First Helium generates negative cash flow from operations
About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Blue Star Helium Delivers First Production at Galactica and Ramps Up Colorado Operations - TipRanks
Evaluating First Helium's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Helium's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing First Helium's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Helium's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Helium's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Helium's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Helium's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Helium's stock. These opinions can provide insight into First Helium's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Helium's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Helium's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for First Stock Analysis

When running First Helium's price analysis, check to measure First Helium's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Helium is operating at the current time. Most of First Helium's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Helium's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Helium's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Helium to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.