Defiance Leveraged Long Etf Performance

HIMY Etf   5.17  0.28  5.14%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.51, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Defiance Leveraged will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Defiance Leveraged Long has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Etf's primary indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the ETF investors. ...more

Defiance Leveraged Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,292  in Defiance Leveraged Long on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (775.00) from holding Defiance Leveraged Long or give up 59.98% of portfolio value over 90 days. Defiance Leveraged Long is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.0577% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 54% of etfs are less volatile than Defiance, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Defiance Leveraged is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 8.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.22 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Defiance Leveraged Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Defiance Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.17 90 days 5.17 
more than 93.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Defiance Leveraged to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Defiance Leveraged Long probability density function shows the probability of Defiance Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the etf has the beta coefficient of 1.51 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Defiance Leveraged will likely underperform. Additionally Defiance Leveraged Long has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Defiance Leveraged Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Defiance Leveraged

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defiance Leveraged Long. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.265.1711.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.255.0711.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.105.2011.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.845.245.64
Details

Defiance Leveraged Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Defiance Leveraged is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Defiance Leveraged's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Defiance Leveraged Long, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Defiance Leveraged within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.46
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.51
σ
Overall volatility
1.86
Ir
Information ratio -0.24

Defiance Leveraged Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Defiance Leveraged for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Defiance Leveraged Long can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Defiance Leveraged generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Defiance Leveraged has high historical volatility and very poor performance

About Defiance Leveraged Performance

Evaluating Defiance Leveraged's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Defiance Leveraged has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Defiance Leveraged has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Defiance Leveraged generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Defiance Leveraged has high historical volatility and very poor performance
When determining whether Defiance Leveraged Long offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Defiance Leveraged's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Defiance Leveraged Long Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Defiance Leveraged Long Etf:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Defiance Leveraged Long. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as various price indices.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
The market value of Defiance Leveraged Long is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Defiance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Defiance Leveraged's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Defiance Leveraged's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Defiance Leveraged's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Defiance Leveraged's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Defiance Leveraged's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Defiance Leveraged is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Defiance Leveraged's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.