Harding Loevner Chinese Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

HLMCX Fund  USD 5.26  0.13  2.41%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.32, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Harding Loevner's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Harding Loevner is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

8 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Harding Loevner Chinese are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Harding Loevner showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Harding Loevner Chinese Equity Q3 2024 Report - Seeking Alpha
11/06/2024
  

Harding Loevner Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  466.00  in Harding Loevner Chinese on August 26, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  73.00  from holding Harding Loevner Chinese or generate 15.67% return on investment over 90 days. Harding Loevner Chinese is currently producing 0.2491% returns and takes up 2.2593% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 20% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Harding, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Harding Loevner is expected to generate 2.96 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.96 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.11 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Harding Loevner Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
5.26
Please note that Harding Loevner's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Harding Loevner Chinese retains a regular Real Value of $4.99 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $5.26. We determine the value of Harding Loevner Chinese from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Harding Loevner is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Harding Mutual Fund. However, Harding Loevner's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  5.26 Real  4.99 Hype  5.37 Naive  5.05
The intrinsic value of Harding Loevner's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Harding Loevner's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
4.99
Real Value
7.25
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Harding Loevner Chinese helps investors to forecast how Harding mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Harding Loevner more accurately as focusing exclusively on Harding Loevner's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.225.355.47
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.115.377.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
2.795.057.30
Details

Harding Loevner Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Harding Loevner's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Harding Loevner Chinese, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Harding Loevner's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.1103

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Estimated Market Risk

 2.26
  actual daily
20
80% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.25
  actual daily
4
96% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.11
  actual daily
8
92% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Harding Loevner is performing at about 8% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Harding Loevner by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Harding Loevner Fundamentals Growth

Harding Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Harding Loevner, and Harding Loevner fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Harding Mutual Fund performance.

About Harding Loevner Performance

Evaluating Harding Loevner's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Harding Loevner has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Harding Loevner has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The Portfolio invests, under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of its net assets in common stocks, preferred stocks, rights, and warrants issued by Chinese companies, securities convertible into such securities , and investment companies that invest in the types of securities in which the Portfolio would normally invest. It is non-diversified.

Things to note about Harding Loevner Chinese performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Harding Loevner for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Harding Loevner Chinese help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Harding Loevner Chinese Equity Q3 2024 Report - Seeking Alpha
The fund retains 95.81% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities
Evaluating Harding Loevner's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Harding Loevner's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Harding Loevner's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Harding Loevner's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Harding Loevner's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Harding Loevner's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Harding Loevner's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Harding Loevner's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Harding Loevner's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Harding Loevner's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Harding Loevner's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Harding Mutual Fund

Harding Loevner financial ratios help investors to determine whether Harding Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Harding with respect to the benefits of owning Harding Loevner security.
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