Harley Davidson Stock Performance
| HOG Stock | USD 18.39 0.29 1.55% |
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.71, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Harley Davidson's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Harley Davidson is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Harley Davidson has a negative expected return of -0.44%. Please make sure to check out Harley Davidson's skewness, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Harley Davidson performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Harley Davidson has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain nearly stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long-run up-swing for the company stockholders. ...more
| Harley Davidson dividend paid on 22nd of December 2025 | 12/22/2025 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.7 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 3.8 B |
Harley Davidson Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 2,429 in Harley Davidson on November 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (590.00) from holding Harley Davidson or give up 24.29% of portfolio value over 90 days. Harley Davidson is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 1.9487% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 17% of stocks are less volatile than Harley, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Harley Davidson Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Harley Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 18.39 | 90 days | 18.39 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Harley Davidson to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Harley Davidson probability density function shows the probability of Harley Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Harley Davidson Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Harley Davidson
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Harley Davidson. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Harley Davidson Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Harley Davidson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Harley Davidson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Harley Davidson, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Harley Davidson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.71 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Harley Davidson Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Harley Davidson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Harley Davidson can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Harley Davidson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Harley Davidson has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Harley Davidson Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Harley Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Harley Davidson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Harley Davidson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 121.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.1 B |
Harley Davidson Fundamentals Growth
Harley Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Harley Davidson, and Harley Davidson fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Harley Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0242 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.73) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 8.75 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 118.14 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 38.00 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.03 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.51 X | ||||
| Revenue | 4.47 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 492.18 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.09 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 11.83 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.97 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.52 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 27.62 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 568.92 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.67 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 8.04 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 3.47 B | ||||
| Current Asset | 2.07 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 990.05 M | ||||
About Harley Davidson Performance
By analyzing Harley Davidson's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Harley Davidson's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Harley Davidson has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Harley Davidson has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
The company operates in two segments, Motorcycles and Related Products and Financial Services. Harley-Davidson, Inc. was founded in 1903 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Harley Davidson operates under Recreational Vehicles classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 5800 people.Things to note about Harley Davidson performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Harley Davidson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Harley Davidson help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Harley Davidson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Harley Davidson has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing Harley Davidson's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Harley Davidson's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Harley Davidson's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Harley Davidson's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Harley Davidson's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Harley Davidson's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Harley Davidson's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Harley Stock analysis
When running Harley Davidson's price analysis, check to measure Harley Davidson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harley Davidson is operating at the current time. Most of Harley Davidson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harley Davidson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harley Davidson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harley Davidson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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