Home Bancshares Stock Performance

HOMB Stock  USD 30.27  0.00  0.00%   
Home BancShares has a performance score of 10 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.79, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Home BancShares' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Home BancShares is expected to be smaller as well. Home BancShares right now retains a risk of 1.35%. Please check out Home BancShares downside variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Home BancShares will be following its current trending patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Home BancShares are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unsteady primary indicators, Home BancShares may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.7
Five Day Return
6.22
Year To Date Return
9.6
Ten Year Return
56.31
All Time Return
626.6
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0268
Payout Ratio
0.3489
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
0.82
Dividend Date
2026-03-04
 
Home BancShares dividend paid on 3rd of December 2025
12/03/2025
1
Equity Bancshares, Inc. Completes Merger with Frontier Holdings, LLC
01/02/2026
2
Acquisition by Russell Carter of 30000 shares of Home BancShares subject to Rule 16b-3
01/06/2026
3
Home BancShares Could Be a Great Choice
01/15/2026
4
Home BancShares, Inc. Announces First Quarter Dividend
01/21/2026
5
South Atlantic Bancshares, Inc. Reports Earnings of 2.10 per Diluted Common Share for the Year Ended December 31, 2025
01/22/2026
6
Huntington Bancshares Incorporated Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
01/23/2026
7
What Home Bancshares s Strong Q4, Buybacks and Lower ChargeOffs Mean For Shareholders
01/26/2026
8
Shore Bancshares, Inc. Reports 2025 Fourth Quarter and Annual Results
01/28/2026
9
Civista Bancshares, Inc. Announces Fourth-Quarter 2025 Financial Results of 0.61 per Common Share, and Full-Year 2025 Financial Results of 2.64 per Common Share
01/29/2026
10
International Bancshares Corporation Announces Increase in Cash Dividend
02/02/2026
Begin Period Cash FlowB
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities5.7 M
Free Cash Flow422.1 M

Home BancShares Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,737  in Home BancShares on November 11, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  312.00  from holding Home BancShares or generate 11.4% return on investment over 90 days. Home BancShares is currently generating 0.1833% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.3542% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than Home, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home BancShares is expected to generate 1.68 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.68 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Home BancShares Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Home Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 30.27 90 days 30.27 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Home BancShares to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Home BancShares probability density function shows the probability of Home Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Home BancShares has a beta of 0.79. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Home BancShares average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Home BancShares will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Home BancShares has an alpha of 0.1347, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Home BancShares Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Home BancShares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Home BancShares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.0830.4431.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.5333.8135.17
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
30.1633.1436.79
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.560.590.61
Details

Home BancShares Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Home BancShares is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Home BancShares' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Home BancShares, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Home BancShares within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.79
σ
Overall volatility
0.84
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Home BancShares Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Home BancShares for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Home BancShares can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: International Bancshares Corporation Announces Increase in Cash Dividend

Home BancShares Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Home Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Home BancShares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Home BancShares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding197.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 B

Home BancShares Fundamentals Growth

Home Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Home BancShares, and Home BancShares fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Home Stock performance.

About Home BancShares Performance

By analyzing Home BancShares' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Home BancShares' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Home BancShares has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Home BancShares has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.03 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.11  0.07 

Things to note about Home BancShares performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Home BancShares for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Home BancShares help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 74.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: International Bancshares Corporation Announces Increase in Cash Dividend
Evaluating Home BancShares' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Home BancShares' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Home BancShares' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Home BancShares' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Home BancShares' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Home BancShares' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Home BancShares' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Home BancShares' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Home BancShares' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Home BancShares' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Home BancShares' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Home Stock analysis

When running Home BancShares' price analysis, check to measure Home BancShares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Home BancShares is operating at the current time. Most of Home BancShares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Home BancShares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Home BancShares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Home BancShares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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