Rational Real Strategies Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

HRSFX Fund  USD 16.62  0.01  0.06%   
The fund holds a Beta of -0.0171, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Rational Real are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Rational Real is likely to outperform the market.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

21 of 100

 
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Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Rational Real Strategies are ranked lower than 21 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Rational Real is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2023
Expense Ratio3.0200
  

Rational Real Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,648  in Rational Real Strategies on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  14.00  from holding Rational Real Strategies or generate 0.85% return on investment over 90 days. Rational Real Strategies is currently producing 0.0134% returns and takes up 0.0491% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Rational, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Rational Real is expected to generate 7.43 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 15.49 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.27 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Rational Real Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
16.62
Please note that Rational Real's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Rational Real Strategies holds a recent Real Value of $15.27 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $16.62. We determine the value of Rational Real Strategies from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Rational Real is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Rational Mutual Fund. However, Rational Real's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  16.62 Real  15.27 Hype  16.62 Naive  16.62
The intrinsic value of Rational Real's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Rational Real's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.27
Real Value
18.28
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Rational Real Strategies helps investors to forecast how Rational mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Rational Real more accurately as focusing exclusively on Rational Real's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.5716.6016.63
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.5716.6216.67
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.5716.6216.67
Details

Rational Real Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Rational Real's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Rational Real Strategies, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Rational Real's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.2739

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HRSFX
Based on monthly moving average Rational Real is performing at about 21% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Rational Real by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Rational Real Fundamentals Growth

Rational Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rational Real, and Rational Real fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rational Mutual Fund performance.

About Rational Real Performance

Evaluating Rational Real's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Rational Real has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Rational Real has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests primarily in long and short call and put options on futures contracts on the Standard Poors 500 Index, and in cash, and cash equivalents. It achieves its investment objective in three ways Premium Collection - the fund collects premiums on options it sells Volatility Trading - the fund may enter into positions designed to hedge or profit from either an increase or a decrease in index volatility and Trend following - the fund may increase or decrease the balance of puts and calls based on trending market direction.

Things to note about Rational Real Strategies performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rational Real for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Rational Real Strategies help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 71.51% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Rational Real's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Rational Real's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Rational Real's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rational Real's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Rational Real's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Rational Real's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rational Real's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rational Real's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Rational Real's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Rational Real's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Rational Real's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Rational Mutual Fund

Rational Real financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rational Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rational with respect to the benefits of owning Rational Real security.
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