Hennessy Small Cap Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

HSFNX Fund  USD 29.91  0.38  1.29%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.02, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Hennessy Small returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hennessy Small is expected to follow.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Hennessy Small Cap are ranked lower than 20 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Hennessy Small showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
...more
Expense Ratio Date28th of February 2025
Expense Ratio1.6300
  

Hennessy Small Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,198  in Hennessy Small Cap on November 17, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  793.00  from holding Hennessy Small Cap or generate 36.08% return on investment over 90 days. Hennessy Small Cap is currently producing 0.5167% returns and takes up 1.9833% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 17% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Hennessy, and 90% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hennessy Small is expected to generate 2.6 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.6 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.26 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Hennessy Small Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
29.91
Please note that Hennessy Small's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be undervalued. Hennessy Small Cap retains a regular Real Value of $31.61 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $29.91. We determine the value of Hennessy Small Cap from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Hennessy Small is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Hennessy Mutual Fund. However, Hennessy Small's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  29.91 Real  31.61 Hype  29.91
The intrinsic value of Hennessy Small's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Hennessy Small's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
31.61
Real Value
33.59
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Hennessy Small Cap helps investors to forecast how Hennessy mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Hennessy Small more accurately as focusing exclusively on Hennessy Small's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.9329.9131.89
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Hennessy Small Cap extending back to July 02, 1997. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Hennessy Small stands at 29.91, as last reported on the 15th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 29.91 and the lowest price hitting 29.91 during the day.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Hennessy Small Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Hennessy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.91 90 days 29.91 
about 14.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hennessy Small to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.92 (This Hennessy Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Hennessy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.02 . This usually indicates Hennessy Small Cap market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hennessy Small is expected to follow. Additionally Hennessy Small Cap has an alpha of 0.3477, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Hennessy Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Hennessy Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hennessy Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.9329.9131.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.6331.6133.59
Details

Hennessy Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hennessy Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hennessy Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hennessy Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hennessy Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.02
σ
Overall volatility
2.51
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Hennessy Small Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hennessy Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hennessy Small Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 7.47% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Hennessy Small Fundamentals Growth

Hennessy Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Hennessy Small, and Hennessy Small fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Hennessy Mutual Fund performance.

About Hennessy Small Performance

Evaluating Hennessy Small's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Hennessy Small has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Hennessy Small has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in securities of small-cap companies principally engaged in the business of providing financial services. The funds manager considers a small-cap company to be one that has a market capitalization of less than 3 billion, measured at the time of purchase. It will not invest more than 5 percent of its total assets in the equity-related securities of any one company that derives more than 15 percent of its revenues from brokerage or investment management activities. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Hennessy Small Cap performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Hennessy Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Hennessy Small Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 7.47% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Hennessy Small's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Hennessy Small's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Hennessy Small's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Hennessy Small's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Hennessy Small's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Hennessy Small's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Hennessy Small's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Hennessy Small's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Hennessy Small's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Hennessy Small's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Hennessy Small's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Hennessy Mutual Fund

Hennessy Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hennessy Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hennessy with respect to the benefits of owning Hennessy Small security.
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.