Humacyte Stock Performance

HUMAW Stock  USD 0.12  0.03  33.19%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Humacyte holds a performance score of 2. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -1.72, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Humacyte are expected to decrease by larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Humacyte is expected to outperform it. Please check Humacyte's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to make a quick decision on whether Humacyte's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weak

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Humacyte are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly uncertain basic indicators, Humacyte showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
1
Insights Ahead Humacytes Quarterly Earnings - Benzinga
11/11/2025
2
Acquisition by Niklason Laura E of 311100 shares of Humacyte at 1.23 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/14/2025
3
Wall Street Analysts See Humacyte, Inc. as a Buy Should You Invest - Yahoo Finance
12/05/2025
4
Humacyte Stock Opinions on FDA Approval for Symvess Product - Quiver Quantitative
12/11/2025
5
Humacytes US28m Market Cap Fall Books Insider Losses - simplywall.st
12/17/2025
6
Humacyte, Inc. Receives Average Recommendation of Moderate Buy from Analysts - MarketBeat
12/29/2025
7
Humacyte Announces Planned Marketing Authorization Application for Symvess in Israel - marketscreener.com
01/05/2026
8
Humacyte, Inc. Stock Analysis Unveiling a Potential 571.55 percent Upside in the Biotech Sector - DirectorsTalk Interviews
01/09/2026
9
Humacyte, Inc. Stock Analysis Exploring a Potential 614 percent Upside in the Biotech Sector - DirectorsTalk Interviews
01/16/2026
10
Acquisition by Green Charles Bruce of 6000 shares of Humacyte at 1.29 subject to Rule 16b-3
02/03/2026
11
BTIG reiterates Buy rating on Humacyte stock amid DoD funding news - Investing.com
02/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow80.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.6 M
Free Cash Flow-99.7 M

Humacyte Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  14.00  in Humacyte on November 22, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2.00) from holding Humacyte or give up 14.29% of portfolio value over 90 days. Humacyte is currently producing 0.3589% returns and takes up 11.6351% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than Humacyte, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Humacyte is expected to generate 15.49 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 15.49 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.03 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.14 per unit of risk.

Humacyte Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Humacyte Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.12 90 days 0.12 
about 64.24
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Humacyte to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 64.24 (This Humacyte probability density function shows the probability of Humacyte Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Humacyte has a beta of -1.72. This usually indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Humacyte are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Humacyte is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Humacyte has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Humacyte Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Humacyte

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Humacyte. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1111.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1011.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.1111.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.080.120.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Humacyte. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Humacyte's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Humacyte's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Humacyte.

Humacyte Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Humacyte is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Humacyte's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Humacyte, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Humacyte within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.72
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Humacyte Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Humacyte for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Humacyte can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Humacyte had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Humacyte has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Humacyte has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (148.7 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (73.8 M).
Humacyte generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: BTIG reiterates Buy rating on Humacyte stock amid DoD funding news - Investing.com

Humacyte Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Humacyte Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Humacyte's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Humacyte's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding118.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments44.9 M

Humacyte Fundamentals Growth

Humacyte Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Humacyte, and Humacyte fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Humacyte Stock performance.

About Humacyte Performance

Evaluating Humacyte's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Humacyte has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Humacyte has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(1.24)(1.18)
Return On Capital Employed(1.12)(1.17)
Return On Assets(1.24)(1.18)
Return On Equity 3.25  3.41 

Things to note about Humacyte performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Humacyte for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Humacyte help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Humacyte had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Humacyte has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Humacyte has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (148.7 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (73.8 M).
Humacyte generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: BTIG reiterates Buy rating on Humacyte stock amid DoD funding news - Investing.com
Evaluating Humacyte's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Humacyte's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Humacyte's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Humacyte's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Humacyte's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Humacyte's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Humacyte's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Humacyte's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Humacyte's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Humacyte's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Humacyte's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Humacyte Stock Analysis

When running Humacyte's price analysis, check to measure Humacyte's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Humacyte is operating at the current time. Most of Humacyte's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Humacyte's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Humacyte's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Humacyte to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.