Ishares Trust Etf Performance

IBDZ Etf   26.43  0.02  0.08%   
The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.14, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, IShares Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding IShares Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in iShares Trust are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong fundamental indicators, IShares Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

IShares Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,606  in iShares Trust on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  37.00  from holding iShares Trust or generate 1.42% return on investment over 90 days. iShares Trust is currently generating 0.0238% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.2496% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 2% of etfs are less volatile than IShares, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days IShares Trust is expected to generate 2.64 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 3.01 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

IShares Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of IShares Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 26.43 90 days 26.43 
about 17.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of IShares Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.8 (This iShares Trust probability density function shows the probability of IShares Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days IShares Trust has a beta of 0.14. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, IShares Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding iShares Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally IShares Trust has an alpha of 4.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 3.64E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   IShares Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for IShares Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iShares Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of IShares Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.1826.4326.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.1426.3926.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.1226.3726.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.3226.4226.51
Details

IShares Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. IShares Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the IShares Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold iShares Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of IShares Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.0004
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

About IShares Trust Performance

Evaluating IShares Trust's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if IShares Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if IShares Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.