Intact Financial Stock Performance

IFCZF Stock  USD 183.28  0.73  0.40%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.31, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Intact Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Intact Financial is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Intact Financial has a negative expected return of -0.0179%. Please make sure to check out Intact Financial's kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the day median price and period momentum indicator , to decide if Intact Financial performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Intact Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, Intact Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
  

Intact Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  18,656  in Intact Financial on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (328.00) from holding Intact Financial or give up 1.76% of portfolio value over 90 days. Intact Financial is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.5097% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 13% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Intact, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Intact Financial is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.03 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Intact Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Intact Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 183.28 90 days 183.28 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intact Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Intact Financial probability density function shows the probability of Intact Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Intact Financial has a beta of -0.31. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Intact Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Intact Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Intact Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Intact Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intact Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intact Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
181.77183.28184.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
157.73159.24201.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
183.62185.13186.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
179.13195.98212.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intact Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intact Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intact Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Intact Financial.

Intact Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intact Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intact Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intact Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intact Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.31
σ
Overall volatility
7.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Intact Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intact Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intact Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intact Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Intact Financial has accumulated 4.38 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Intact Financial has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Intact Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Intact Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Intact Financial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Intact to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Intact Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Intact Financial Fundamentals Growth

Intact Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Intact Financial, and Intact Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Intact Pink Sheet performance.

About Intact Financial Performance

By analyzing Intact Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Intact Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Intact Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Intact Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Intact Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance products to individuals and businesses in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Ireland, rest of Europe, and the Middle East. Intact Financial Corporation was founded in 1809 and is based in Toronto, Canada. Intact Finl operates under InsuranceProperty Casualty classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 26000 people.

Things to note about Intact Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intact Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Intact Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intact Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Intact Financial has accumulated 4.38 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.31, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Intact Financial has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Intact Financial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Intact Financial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Intact Financial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Intact to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Intact Financial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Evaluating Intact Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Intact Financial's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Intact Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Intact Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Intact Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Intact Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Intact Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Intact Financial's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Intact Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Intact Financial's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Intact Financial's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Intact Financial's price analysis, check to measure Intact Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intact Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Intact Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intact Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intact Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intact Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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