Investec (South Africa) Performance

INL Stock   13,928  299.00  2.19%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Investec holds a performance score of 18. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.12, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Investec's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Investec is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Investec's treynor ratio, downside variance, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether Investec's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Investec are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady technical and fundamental indicators, Investec exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow43.2 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities35.6 M
  

Investec Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,175,195  in Investec on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  217,605  from holding Investec or generate 18.52% return on investment over 90 days. Investec is generating 0.2866% of daily returns and assumes 1.2534% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 11% of stocks are less volatile than Investec, and 95% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Investec is expected to generate 1.68 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.68 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.17 per unit of risk.

Investec Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Investec Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13,928 90 days 13,928 
roughly 2.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Investec to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.21 (This Investec probability density function shows the probability of Investec Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Investec has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Investec average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Investec will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Investec has an alpha of 0.0974, implying that it can generate a 0.0974 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Investec Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Investec

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Investec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13,92713,92813,929
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,28513,28615,321
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13,93813,93913,941
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10,10413,50316,902
Details

Investec Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Investec is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Investec's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Investec, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Investec within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.12
σ
Overall volatility
665.43
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Investec Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Investec Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Investec's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Investec's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding966.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments25.1 B

Investec Fundamentals Growth

Investec Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Investec, and Investec fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Investec Stock performance.

About Investec Performance

By analyzing Investec's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Investec's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Investec has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Investec has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about Investec performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Investec for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Investec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Investec's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Investec's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Investec's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Investec's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Investec's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Investec's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Investec's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Investec's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Investec's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Investec's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Investec's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Investec's price analysis, check to measure Investec's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Investec is operating at the current time. Most of Investec's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Investec's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Investec's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Investec to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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