Intrusion Stock Performance

INTZ Stock  USD 1.18  0.04  3.28%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.38, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Intrusion will likely underperform. At this point, Intrusion has a negative expected return of -0.54%. Please make sure to check out Intrusion's maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and relative strength index , to decide if Intrusion performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Intrusion has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:20
Last Split Date
2024-03-25
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Begin Period Cash Flow139 K
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.8 M

Intrusion Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  177.00  in Intrusion on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (59.00) from holding Intrusion or give up 33.33% of portfolio value over 90 days. Intrusion is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.1595% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 46% of stocks are less volatile than Intrusion, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Intrusion is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.84 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.11 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Intrusion Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Intrusion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.18 90 days 1.18 
about 88.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intrusion to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.14 (This Intrusion probability density function shows the probability of Intrusion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.38 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Intrusion will likely underperform. Additionally Intrusion has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Intrusion Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intrusion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intrusion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Intrusion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.186.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.136.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.236.35
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.607.258.05
Details

Intrusion Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intrusion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intrusion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intrusion, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intrusion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.6
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.38
σ
Overall volatility
0.22
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Intrusion Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intrusion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intrusion can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intrusion generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Intrusion has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Intrusion may become a speculative penny stock
Intrusion has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Intrusion currently holds 2.73 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Intrusion has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Intrusion's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 5.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.53 M.
Intrusion currently holds about 7.02 M in cash with (6.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.36.
Roughly 17.0% of Intrusion shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Value Recap How is MicroAlgo Inc. managing supply chain issues - GDP Growth Expert Verified Stock Movement Alerts - baoquankhu1.vn

Intrusion Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intrusion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intrusion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intrusion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.9 M

Intrusion Fundamentals Growth

Intrusion Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Intrusion, and Intrusion fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Intrusion Stock performance.

About Intrusion Performance

Evaluating Intrusion's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Intrusion has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Intrusion has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.78)(0.82)
Return On Capital Employed(0.97)(0.92)
Return On Assets(0.78)(0.82)
Return On Equity(1.12)(1.07)

Things to note about Intrusion performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intrusion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Intrusion help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intrusion generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Intrusion has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Intrusion may become a speculative penny stock
Intrusion has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Intrusion currently holds 2.73 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Intrusion has a current ratio of 0.85, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Intrusion's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 5.77 M. Net Loss for the year was (7.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.53 M.
Intrusion currently holds about 7.02 M in cash with (6.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.36.
Roughly 17.0% of Intrusion shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Value Recap How is MicroAlgo Inc. managing supply chain issues - GDP Growth Expert Verified Stock Movement Alerts - baoquankhu1.vn
Evaluating Intrusion's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Intrusion's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Intrusion's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Intrusion's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Intrusion's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Intrusion's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Intrusion's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Intrusion's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Intrusion's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Intrusion's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Intrusion's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Intrusion Stock Analysis

When running Intrusion's price analysis, check to measure Intrusion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Intrusion is operating at the current time. Most of Intrusion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Intrusion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Intrusion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Intrusion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.