Intevac Performance

IVACDelisted Stock  USD 4.00  0.00  0.00%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.15, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Intevac are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Intevac is likely to outperform the market. Intevac right now retains a risk of 0.0%. Please check out Intevac maximum drawdown, skewness, market facilitation index, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and rate of daily change , to decide if Intevac will be following its current trending patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Intevac has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, Intevac is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
  

Intevac Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  400.00  in Intevac on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Intevac or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Intevac is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 0.0% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 0% of stocks are less volatile than Intevac, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  

Intevac Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Intevac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.00 90 days 4.00 
about 12.94
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intevac to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.94 (This Intevac probability density function shows the probability of Intevac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Intevac has a beta of -0.15. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Intevac are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Intevac is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Intevac has an alpha of 0.3854, implying that it can generate a 0.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Intevac Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Intevac

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intevac. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.004.004.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.243.244.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.184.184.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.173.754.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Intevac. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Intevac's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Intevac's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Intevac.

Intevac Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intevac is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intevac's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intevac, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intevac within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

Intevac Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intevac for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intevac can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intevac is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Intevac has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 63.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.65 M.
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Intevac Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intevac Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intevac's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intevac's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments67.2 M

Intevac Fundamentals Growth

Intevac Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Intevac, and Intevac fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Intevac Stock performance.

About Intevac Performance

By analyzing Intevac's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Intevac's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Intevac has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Intevac has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Intevac, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs and develops thin-film processing systems primarily in the United States and Asia. Intevac, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California. Intevac operates under Specialty Industrial Machinery classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 144 people.

Things to note about Intevac performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Intevac for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Intevac help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Intevac is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Intevac has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 63.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (39.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.65 M.
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Intevac's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Intevac's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Intevac's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Intevac's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Intevac's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Intevac's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Intevac's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Intevac's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Intevac's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Intevac's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Intevac's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.

Other Consideration for investing in Intevac Stock

If you are still planning to invest in Intevac check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Intevac's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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