Jack In The Stock Performance

JACK Stock  USD 20.41  0.95  4.45%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Jack In holds a performance score of 11. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.94, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Jack In will likely underperform. Please check Jack In's treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to make a quick decision on whether Jack In's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Jack In The are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite weak fundamental indicators, Jack In disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(4.45)
Five Day Return
(8.35)
Year To Date Return
9.03
Ten Year Return
(71.56)
All Time Return
165.41
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0824
Payout Ratio
0.3099
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.76
Dividend Date
2025-04-08
1
Insider Trading
11/14/2025
2
Why Jack in the Box Stock Is Down Today
11/17/2025
3
Disposition of 1393 shares by Carl Mount of Jack In at 19.0 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/25/2025
4
Acquisition by Ryan Ostrom of 1000 shares of Jack In at 17.5517 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/26/2025
5
Acquisition by Dawn Hooper of 21647 shares of Jack In subject to Rule 16b-3
12/10/2025
6
How Is Jack Henry Associates Stock Performance Compared to Other Technology Stocks - Barchart.com
12/16/2025
7
Disposition of 177 shares by Richard Cook of Jack In at 20.27 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/17/2025
8
Disposition of 200 shares by Smolinisky Alan of Jack In at 22.5 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
9
Jack in the Box to Divest Del Taco, RBC Capital Raises Price Target
12/23/2025
10
Jack in the Box Does A Prolonged Downtrend Imply Value
12/29/2025
11
Jack in the Box Completes One of the Fastest POS Modernizations in QSR History, Rolling Out Qu to over 2,100 Restaurants in 15 Months
01/07/2026
12
Jack in the Box Inc. Announces 105 Million Debt Repayment
01/09/2026
13
Jack In The Box When The Ugly Duckling Stays Ugly - Seeking Alpha
01/20/2026
14
Jack in the Box Announces First Quarter 2026 Earnings Webcast
01/22/2026
15
Disposition of 1472 shares by Tucker Lance F. of Jack In at 21.83 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/28/2026
16
Comparing Jack In The Box and Dominos Pizza Enterprises
02/02/2026
17
Jack in the Box Brings Back the Hot Mess Burger as a Limited-Time Throwback Classic for Its 75th Anniversary
02/10/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow54.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-74.7 M

Jack In Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,515  in Jack In The on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  551.50  from holding Jack In The or generate 36.4% return on investment over 90 days. Jack In The is currently generating 0.5883% in daily expected returns and assumes 4.0075% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 36% of stocks are less volatile than Jack, and 89% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Jack In is expected to generate 4.95 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 4.95 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Jack In Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Jack Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.41 90 days 20.41 
about 35.38
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jack In to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 35.38 (This Jack In The probability density function shows the probability of Jack Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.94 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Jack In will likely underperform. Additionally Jack In The has an alpha of 0.184, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jack In Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jack In

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jack In. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jack In's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.7920.8024.81
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.1720.1824.19
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.1522.1424.57
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.820.971.29
Details

Jack In Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jack In is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jack In's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jack In The, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jack In within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.94
σ
Overall volatility
2.40
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Jack In Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jack In for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jack In can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jack In appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Jack In The currently holds 3.12 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 44.84, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Jack In has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Jack In's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (80.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 420.12 M.
Over 92.0% of Jack In shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Jack in the Box Brings Back the Hot Mess Burger as a Limited-Time Throwback Classic for Its 75th Anniversary

Jack In Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jack Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jack In's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jack In's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments51.5 M

Jack In Fundamentals Growth

Jack Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Jack In, and Jack In fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Jack Stock performance.

About Jack In Performance

By examining Jack In's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Jack In's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Jack In is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 1.29  1.23 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.02)(0.02)
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.03 
Return On Assets(0.01)(0.01)
Return On Equity 0.04  0.04 

Things to note about Jack In performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jack In for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Jack In help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Jack In appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Jack In The currently holds 3.12 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 44.84, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Jack In has a current ratio of 0.43, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Jack In's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 1.47 B. Net Loss for the year was (80.72 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 420.12 M.
Over 92.0% of Jack In shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Jack in the Box Brings Back the Hot Mess Burger as a Limited-Time Throwback Classic for Its 75th Anniversary
Evaluating Jack In's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Jack In's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Jack In's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Jack In's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Jack In's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Jack In's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Jack In's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Jack In's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Jack In's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Jack In's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Jack In's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Jack In is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Jack Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Jack In The Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Jack In The Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Jack In The. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in services.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jack In. Expected growth trajectory for Jack significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Jack In assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.74)
Dividend Share
0.88
Earnings Share
(4.24)
Revenue Per Share
76.903
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
Understanding Jack In requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Jack's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Jack In's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Jack In's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Jack In's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Jack In represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Jack In's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.