Prudential Government Income Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

JDRVX Fund  USD 8.03  0.01  0.12%   
The fund holds a Beta of 0.0552, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Prudential Government's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Prudential Government is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Prudential Government Income has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Prudential Government is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Prudential Government Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  803.00  in Prudential Government Income on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Prudential Government Income or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Prudential Government Income is currently producing 2.0E-4% returns and takes up 0.1761% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 1% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Prudential, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Prudential Government is expected to generate 409.0 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 4.28 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.0 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Prudential Government Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
8.03
Please note that Prudential Government's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be fairly valued. Prudential Government holds a recent Real Value of $8.03 per share. The prevailing price of the fund is $8.03. We determine the value of Prudential Government from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we support acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Prudential Government is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Prudential Mutual Fund. However, Prudential Government's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  8.03 Real  8.03 Hype  8.03 Naive  8.02
The intrinsic value of Prudential Government's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Prudential Government's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
8.03
Real Value
8.21
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Prudential Government Income helps investors to forecast how Prudential mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Prudential Government more accurately as focusing exclusively on Prudential Government's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.028.058.07
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.858.038.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.848.028.20
Details

Prudential Government Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Prudential Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 8.03 90 days 8.03 
about 50.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Prudential Government to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Prudential Government Income probability density function shows the probability of Prudential Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Prudential Government has a beta of 0.0552. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Prudential Government average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Prudential Government Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Prudential Government Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Prudential Government Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Prudential Government

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Prudential Government. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Prudential Government's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.858.038.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.858.038.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.848.028.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.028.058.07
Details

Prudential Government Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Prudential Government is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Prudential Government's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Prudential Government Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Prudential Government within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.32

Prudential Government Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Prudential Government for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Prudential Government can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of -2.0%
Prudential Government retains about 7.55% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Prudential Government Fundamentals Growth

Prudential Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Prudential Government, and Prudential Government fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Prudential Mutual Fund performance.

About Prudential Government Performance

Evaluating Prudential Government's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Prudential Government has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Prudential Government has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund invests at least 80 percent of its investable assets in U.S. government securities, including U.S. PGIM Government is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.

Things to note about Prudential Government performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Prudential Government for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Prudential Government help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund generated five year return of -2.0%
Prudential Government retains about 7.55% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash
Evaluating Prudential Government's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Prudential Government's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Prudential Government's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Prudential Government's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Prudential Government's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Prudential Government's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Prudential Government's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Prudential Government's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Prudential Government's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Prudential Government's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Prudential Government's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Prudential Mutual Fund

Prudential Government financial ratios help investors to determine whether Prudential Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Prudential with respect to the benefits of owning Prudential Government security.
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