John Hancock Government Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

JGIFX Fund  USD 7.76  0.01  0.13%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0483, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, John Hancock's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding John Hancock is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days John Hancock Government has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to fund investors. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, John Hancock is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of October 2022
Expense Ratio0.7200
  

John Hancock Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  795.00  in John Hancock Government on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (19.00) from holding John Hancock Government or give up 2.39% of portfolio value over 90 days. John Hancock Government is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.3123% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 2% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than John, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon John Hancock is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 2.44 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

John Hancock Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
7.76
Please note that John Hancock's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. John Hancock Government retains a regular Real Value of $7.37 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $7.76. We determine the value of John Hancock Government from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since John Hancock is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of John Mutual Fund. However, John Hancock's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  7.76 Real  7.37 Hype  7.76 Naive  7.75
The intrinsic value of John Hancock's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence John Hancock's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
7.37
Real Value
8.54
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of John Hancock Government helps investors to forecast how John mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of John Hancock more accurately as focusing exclusively on John Hancock's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.737.797.84
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.457.768.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.437.758.06
Details

John Hancock Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for John Hancock's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as John Hancock Government, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a John Hancock's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.1214

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Negative ReturnsJGIFX

Estimated Market Risk

 0.31
  actual daily
2
98% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 -0.04
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 -0.12
  actual daily
0
Most of other assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average John Hancock is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of John Hancock by adding John Hancock to a well-diversified portfolio.

John Hancock Fundamentals Growth

John Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of John Hancock, and John Hancock fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on John Mutual Fund performance.

About John Hancock Performance

Evaluating John Hancock's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if John Hancock has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if John Hancock has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in obligations issued or guaranteed by the U.S. government and its agencies, authorities, or instrumentalities . It may invest up to 10 percent of its total assets in below-investment-grade fixed-income securities rated Ba and below by Moodys or BB and below by SP or Fitch or comparable rating by any NRSRO.

Things to note about John Hancock Government performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about John Hancock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for John Hancock Government help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
John Hancock generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
John Hancock Government generated five year return of -1.0%
This fund retains about 97.99% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Evaluating John Hancock's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate John Hancock's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing John Hancock's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether John Hancock's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining John Hancock's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating John Hancock's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of John Hancock's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of John Hancock's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into John Hancock's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating John Hancock's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact John Hancock's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in John Mutual Fund

John Hancock financial ratios help investors to determine whether John Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in John with respect to the benefits of owning John Hancock security.
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