Johnson Municipal Income Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

JMUNX Fund  USD 16.38  0.01  0.06%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0117, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Johnson Municipal's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Johnson Municipal is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Johnson Municipal Income are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Johnson Municipal is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2025
Expense Ratio0.3000
  

Johnson Municipal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,617  in Johnson Municipal Income on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  21.00  from holding Johnson Municipal Income or generate 1.3% return on investment over 90 days. Johnson Municipal Income is currently producing 0.0209% returns and takes up 0.0924% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Johnson, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Johnson Municipal is expected to generate 4.51 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 8.79 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Johnson Municipal Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
16.38
Please note that Johnson Municipal's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be overvalued. Johnson Municipal Income retains a regular Real Value of $15.05 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $16.38. We determine the value of Johnson Municipal Income from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Johnson Municipal is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Johnson Mutual Fund. However, Johnson Municipal's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  16.38 Real  15.05 Hype  16.38
The intrinsic value of Johnson Municipal's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Johnson Municipal's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.05
Real Value
18.02
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Johnson Municipal Income helps investors to forecast how Johnson mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Johnson Municipal more accurately as focusing exclusively on Johnson Municipal's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.2916.3816.47
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Johnson Municipal Income extending back to March 05, 2012. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Johnson Municipal stands at 16.38, as last reported on the 8th of February, with the highest price reaching 16.38 and the lowest price hitting 16.38 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Johnson Municipal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Johnson Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.38 90 days 16.38 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Johnson Municipal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Johnson Municipal Income probability density function shows the probability of Johnson Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Johnson Municipal has a beta of 0.0117. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Johnson Municipal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Johnson Municipal Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Johnson Municipal Income has an alpha of 0.0096, implying that it can generate a 0.009603 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Johnson Municipal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Johnson Municipal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Johnson Municipal Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.2916.3816.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9615.0518.02
Details

Johnson Municipal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Johnson Municipal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Johnson Municipal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Johnson Municipal Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Johnson Municipal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.72

Johnson Municipal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Johnson Municipal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Johnson Municipal Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 97.54% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities

Johnson Municipal Fundamentals Growth

Johnson Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Johnson Municipal, and Johnson Municipal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Johnson Mutual Fund performance.

About Johnson Municipal Performance

Evaluating Johnson Municipal's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Johnson Municipal has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Johnson Municipal has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets, plus any amount for borrowing, in investment grade municipal securities, the income from which is exempt from regular federal income tax. It does not limit itself to securities of a particular maturity range, however, a majority of its assets will typically be invested in intermediate to long-term maturities .

Things to note about Johnson Municipal Income performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Johnson Municipal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Johnson Municipal Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund retains about 97.54% of its assets under management (AUM) in fixed income securities
Evaluating Johnson Municipal's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Johnson Municipal's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Johnson Municipal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Johnson Municipal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Johnson Municipal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Johnson Municipal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Johnson Municipal's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Johnson Municipal's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Johnson Municipal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Johnson Municipal's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Johnson Municipal's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Johnson Mutual Fund

Johnson Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Johnson Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Johnson with respect to the benefits of owning Johnson Municipal security.
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