Karolinska Development (Sweden) Performance

KDEV Stock  SEK 0.30  0.01  3.23%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.14, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Karolinska Development are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Karolinska Development is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Karolinska Development has a negative expected return of -1.4%. Please make sure to verify Karolinska Development's potential upside, kurtosis, and the relationship between the value at risk and skewness , to decide if Karolinska Development performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Karolinska Development AB has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow75.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-49.5 M
  

Karolinska Development Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  89.00  in Karolinska Development AB on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (59.00) from holding Karolinska Development AB or give up 66.29% of portfolio value over 90 days. Karolinska Development AB is generating negative expected returns and assumes 8.6999% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 78% of stocks are less volatile than Karolinska, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Karolinska Development is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 11.8 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.16 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Karolinska Development Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Karolinska Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.30 90 days 0.30 
about 88.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Karolinska Development to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.65 (This Karolinska Development AB probability density function shows the probability of Karolinska Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Karolinska Development AB has a beta of -0.14. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Karolinska Development are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Karolinska Development AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Karolinska Development AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Karolinska Development Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Karolinska Development

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Karolinska Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.309.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.298.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.208.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.240.370.49
Details

Karolinska Development Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Karolinska Development is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Karolinska Development's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Karolinska Development AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Karolinska Development within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Karolinska Development Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Karolinska Development for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Karolinska Development can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Karolinska Development generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Karolinska Development has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Karolinska Development has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Karolinska Development has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Karolinska Development has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has a current ratio of 0.24, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Karolinska Development until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Karolinska Development's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Karolinska Development sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Karolinska to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Karolinska Development's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Karolinska Development Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Karolinska Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Karolinska Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Karolinska Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding198.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments92.4 M

Karolinska Development Fundamentals Growth

Karolinska Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Karolinska Development, and Karolinska Development fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Karolinska Stock performance.

About Karolinska Development Performance

Assessing Karolinska Development's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Karolinska Development's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Karolinska Development is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Karolinska Development AB is a venture capital firm specializing in investments in growth capital, seed stage, and early stage companies. Karolinska Development AB was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden. Karolinska Development operates under Pharmaceuticals And Biosciences classification in Sweden and is traded on Stockholm Stock Exchange. It employs 7 people.

Things to note about Karolinska Development performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Karolinska Development for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Karolinska Development help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Karolinska Development generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Karolinska Development has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Karolinska Development has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Karolinska Development has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Karolinska Development has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company has a current ratio of 0.24, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Karolinska Development until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Karolinska Development's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Karolinska Development sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Karolinska to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Karolinska Development's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 37.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Karolinska Development's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Karolinska Development's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Karolinska Development's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Karolinska Development's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Karolinska Development's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Karolinska Development's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Karolinska Development's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Karolinska Development's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Karolinska Development's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Karolinska Development's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Karolinska Development's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Karolinska Stock Analysis

When running Karolinska Development's price analysis, check to measure Karolinska Development's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Karolinska Development is operating at the current time. Most of Karolinska Development's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Karolinska Development's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Karolinska Development's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Karolinska Development to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.