Carmax Inc Stock Performance

KMX Stock  USD 44.78  0.24  0.54%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, CarMax holds a performance score of 4. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.92, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, CarMax will likely underperform. Please check CarMax's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the accumulation distribution and price action indicator , to make a quick decision on whether CarMax's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in CarMax Inc are ranked lower than 4 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly abnormal primary indicators, CarMax showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
0.54
Five Day Return
(3.37)
Year To Date Return
13.97
Ten Year Return
5.34
All Time Return
323.95
Last Split Factor
2:1
Last Split Date
2007-03-27
1
KMX 10-DAY DEADLINE ALERT CarMax Securities Fraud Lawsuit Filed Over Alleged Concealed Demand Pull-Forward and Auto Finance Portfolio Risk Hagens Berman
12/23/2025
2
CarMax, Inc. Shareholders Who Lost Money Have Opportunity to Lead Securities Fraud Lawsuit
12/29/2025
3
CarMax promises price relief for used-car customers
01/07/2026
4
Acquisition by Charles Wilson of 527 shares of CarMax subject to Rule 16b-3
01/09/2026
5
CarMax Valuation Check As Sales Pressure And Debt Concerns Challenge Turnaround Hopes
01/15/2026
6
BLOG What has technology done for the used car market
01/21/2026
7
Should You Hold CarMax
01/23/2026
8
CarMax Valuation Check After Recent Share Price Swings And Conflicting Fair Value Estimates
01/26/2026
9
Is CarMax Offering Value After A 45.7 percent One Year Share Price Decline
01/28/2026
10
Giverny Capital Asset Management Exited Its Long-Term Holding CarMax in 2025
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-461 M

CarMax Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  4,081  in CarMax Inc on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  397.00  from holding CarMax Inc or generate 9.73% return on investment over 90 days. CarMax Inc is generating 0.242% of daily returns assuming volatility of 4.0373% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 36% of stocks are less volatile than CarMax, and above 96% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon CarMax is expected to generate 5.32 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 5.32 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.06 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 per unit of risk.

CarMax Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of CarMax Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 44.78 90 days 44.78 
about 16.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CarMax to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 16.84 (This CarMax Inc probability density function shows the probability of CarMax Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.92 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CarMax will likely underperform. Additionally CarMax Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CarMax Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CarMax

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CarMax Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.9444.9849.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.2537.2949.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.0639.1043.14
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.4939.0043.29
Details

CarMax Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CarMax is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CarMax's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CarMax Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CarMax within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0016
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.92
σ
Overall volatility
4.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

CarMax Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CarMax for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CarMax Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CarMax Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
CarMax Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Giverny Capital Asset Management Exited Its Long-Term Holding CarMax in 2025

CarMax Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CarMax Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CarMax's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CarMax's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding156.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments247 M

CarMax Fundamentals Growth

CarMax Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of CarMax, and CarMax fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on CarMax Stock performance.

About CarMax Performance

Evaluating CarMax's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if CarMax has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if CarMax has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 53.34  43.02 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.03  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.10 

Things to note about CarMax Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about CarMax for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for CarMax Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CarMax Inc had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
CarMax Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Giverny Capital Asset Management Exited Its Long-Term Holding CarMax in 2025
Evaluating CarMax's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate CarMax's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing CarMax's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether CarMax's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining CarMax's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating CarMax's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of CarMax's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of CarMax's stock. These opinions can provide insight into CarMax's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating CarMax's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact CarMax's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for CarMax Stock Analysis

When running CarMax's price analysis, check to measure CarMax's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CarMax is operating at the current time. Most of CarMax's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CarMax's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CarMax's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CarMax to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.