Innovator Small Cap Etf Performance

KNOV Etf   28.23  0.94  0.58%   
The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.58, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Innovator Small's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Innovator Small is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Innovator Small Cap are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, Innovator Small is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors. ...more

Innovator Small Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,788  in Innovator Small Cap on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  140.00  from holding Innovator Small Cap or generate 5.02% return on investment over 90 days. Innovator Small Cap is currently generating 0.0822% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.6062% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 5% of etfs are less volatile than Innovator, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator Small is expected to generate 1.11 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.23 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Innovator Small Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Innovator Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 29.28 90 days 29.28 
about 17.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Innovator Small to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.8 (This Innovator Small Cap probability density function shows the probability of Innovator Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Innovator Small has a beta of 0.58. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Innovator Small average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Innovator Small Cap will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Innovator Small Cap has an alpha of 0.0404, implying that it can generate a 0.0404 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Innovator Small Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Innovator Small

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Innovator Small Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.8429.4530.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.5929.2029.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.3328.9329.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
28.5929.2629.94
Details

Innovator Small Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Innovator Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Innovator Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Innovator Small Cap, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Innovator Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

About Innovator Small Performance

Evaluating Innovator Small's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Innovator Small has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Innovator Small has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.