Kinetics Paradigm Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

KNPYX Fund  USD 177.44  6.66  3.90%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.26, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Kinetics Paradigm will likely underperform.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

33 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Kinetics Paradigm Fund are ranked lower than 33 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Kinetics Paradigm showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Expense Ratio Date30th of April 2023
Expense Ratio1.4400
  

Kinetics Paradigm Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  11,061  in Kinetics Paradigm Fund on August 24, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  6,683  from holding Kinetics Paradigm Fund or generate 60.42% return on investment over 90 days. Kinetics Paradigm Fund is currently producing 0.7562% returns and takes up 1.7531% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 15% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Kinetics, and 85% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kinetics Paradigm is expected to generate 2.3 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.3 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.43 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of risk.

Kinetics Paradigm Current Valuation

Undervalued
Today
177.44
Please note that Kinetics Paradigm's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be undervalued. Kinetics Paradigm secures a last-minute Real Value of $182.37 per share. The latest price of the fund is $177.44. We determine the value of Kinetics Paradigm from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Kinetics Paradigm is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Kinetics Mutual Fund. However, Kinetics Paradigm's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  177.44 Real  182.37 Hype  177.44 Naive  173.88
The intrinsic value of Kinetics Paradigm's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Kinetics Paradigm's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
159.70
Downside
182.37
Real Value
184.12
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Kinetics Paradigm Fund helps investors to forecast how Kinetics mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Kinetics Paradigm more accurately as focusing exclusively on Kinetics Paradigm's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
123.79153.44183.09
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
175.69177.44179.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
172.13173.88175.64
Details

Kinetics Paradigm Market Risk Analysis

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kinetics Paradigm's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of mutual funds, such as Kinetics Paradigm Fund, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Kinetics Paradigm's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.

Sharpe Ratio = 0.4314

Best PortfolioBest Equity
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Estimated Market Risk

 1.75
  actual daily
15
85% of assets are more volatile

Expected Return

 0.76
  actual daily
15
85% of assets have higher returns

Risk-Adjusted Return

 0.43
  actual daily
33
67% of assets perform better
Based on monthly moving average Kinetics Paradigm is performing at about 33% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Kinetics Paradigm by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.

Kinetics Paradigm Fundamentals Growth

Kinetics Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Kinetics Paradigm, and Kinetics Paradigm fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Kinetics Mutual Fund performance.

About Kinetics Paradigm Performance

Evaluating Kinetics Paradigm's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Kinetics Paradigm has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Kinetics Paradigm has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund is a non-diversified fund that invests all of its investable assets in the Paradigm Portfolio, a series of Kinetics Portfolios Trust. The Paradigm Portfolio invests at least 65 percent of its net assets in common stocks, ETFs, convertible securities, warrants, and other equity securities having the characteristics of common stocks , Global Depositary Receipts and International Depositary Receipts of U.S. and foreign companies that the Investment Adviser believes are undervalued. The fund is non-diversified.

Things to note about Kinetics Paradigm performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kinetics Paradigm for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Kinetics Paradigm help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kinetics is showing solid risk-adjusted performance over 90 days
The fund maintains about 8.0% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Kinetics Paradigm's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Kinetics Paradigm's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Kinetics Paradigm's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Kinetics Paradigm's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Kinetics Paradigm's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Kinetics Paradigm's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Kinetics Paradigm's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Kinetics Paradigm's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Kinetics Paradigm's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Kinetics Paradigm's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Kinetics Paradigm's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Kinetics Mutual Fund

Kinetics Paradigm financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kinetics Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kinetics with respect to the benefits of owning Kinetics Paradigm security.
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