Lucid Group Stock Performance
| LCID Stock | USD 11.07 0.26 2.29% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 3.47, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Lucid will likely underperform. At this point, Lucid Group has a negative expected return of -0.56%. Please make sure to verify Lucid's skewness, day typical price, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and daily balance of power , to decide if Lucid Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Lucid Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (2.29) | Five Day Return 0.64 | Year To Date Return (0.72) | Ten Year Return (88.81) | All Time Return (88.81) |
Last Split Factor 1:10 | Last Split Date 2025-09-02 |
1 | Lucid Group Stock Price Down 2.6 percent Time to Sell | 12/29/2025 |
2 | Voya Investment Management LLC Sells 128,483 Shares of Lucid Group, Inc. LCID | 01/06/2026 |
3 | Is Lucid Stock a Millionaire Maker | 01/13/2026 |
4 | Assessing Lucid Group Valuation After Reverse Stock Split And Ongoing Funding Concerns | 01/20/2026 |
5 | Lucid Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know | 01/21/2026 |
6 | Stocks making big moves yesterday Micron, Regions Financial, Xerox, Lucid, and Upstart | 01/22/2026 |
7 | Lucid Ties Saudi Factory Expansion And Rockwell Deal To Scaling Risks | 01/26/2026 |
8 | Lucid Group Aligns With Nasdaq Composite EV Evolution Today | 01/28/2026 |
9 | Lucid Air Achieves Longest Range at NAF Winter Test 2026 | 01/29/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 1.4 B | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.3 B |
Lucid Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,664 in Lucid Group on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (557.00) from holding Lucid Group or give up 33.47% of portfolio value over 90 days. Lucid Group is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.5074% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 40% of stocks are less volatile than Lucid, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Lucid Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Lucid Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 11.07 | 90 days | 11.07 | about 78.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lucid to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 78.74 (This Lucid Group probability density function shows the probability of Lucid Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.47 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lucid will likely underperform. Additionally Lucid Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Lucid Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Lucid
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lucid Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Lucid Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lucid is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lucid's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lucid Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lucid within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Lucid Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lucid for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lucid Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lucid Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lucid Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lucid Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 807.83 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.71 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.04 B). | |
| Lucid Group currently holds about 3.34 B in cash with (2.02 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.99. | |
| Lucid Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Lucid Air Achieves Longest Range at NAF Winter Test 2026 |
Lucid Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lucid Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lucid's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lucid's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 244.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4 B |
Lucid Fundamentals Growth
Lucid Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Lucid, and Lucid fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Lucid Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.61 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.23 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (2.14) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (2.80) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 4.01 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 324.17 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 10.79 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.96 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.45 X | ||||
| Revenue | 807.83 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | (1.04 B) | ||||
| EBITDA | (2.38 B) | ||||
| Net Income | (2.71 B) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.34 B | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.99 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.48 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.72 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 5.04 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 5.55 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (2.02 B) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (10.51) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 3.67 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 9.65 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (12.91 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 3.71 B | ||||
About Lucid Performance
By analyzing Lucid's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Lucid's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Lucid has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Lucid has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 77.39 | 118.63 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.25) | (0.27) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.32) | (0.34) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.25) | (0.27) | |
| Return On Equity | (0.81) | (0.85) |
Things to note about Lucid Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Lucid for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Lucid Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Lucid Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Lucid Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Lucid Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 807.83 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.71 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.04 B). | |
| Lucid Group currently holds about 3.34 B in cash with (2.02 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.99. | |
| Lucid Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Lucid Air Achieves Longest Range at NAF Winter Test 2026 |
- Analyzing Lucid's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Lucid's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Lucid's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Lucid's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Lucid's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Lucid's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Lucid's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
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When running Lucid's price analysis, check to measure Lucid's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lucid is operating at the current time. Most of Lucid's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lucid's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lucid's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lucid to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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