First Trust Long Etf Performance

LGOV Etf  USD 21.91  0.01  0.05%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0727, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Soft

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Long are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly stable basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors. ...more
1
First Trust Long Duration Opportunities ETF declares 0.0775 dividend
11/21/2025
2
Responsive Playbooks and the LGOV Inflection - Stock Traders Daily
01/12/2026
3
and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations - Stock Traders Daily
01/23/2026

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,174  in First Trust Long on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  17.00  from holding First Trust Long or generate 0.78% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Long is currently generating 0.0131% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.3387% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 3% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust is expected to generate 7.19 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 2.4 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Long extending back to January 23, 2019. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 21.91, as last reported on the 8th of February, with the highest price reaching 21.92 and the lowest price hitting 21.87 during the day.
3 y Volatility
9.97
200 Day MA
21.6096
1 y Volatility
5.46
50 Day MA
21.8855
Inception Date
2019-01-22
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.91 90 days 21.91 
about 9.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.73 (This First Trust Long probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust has a beta of 0.0727. This indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Trust Long will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Trust Long has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Long. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.5721.9122.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.5621.9022.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.6021.9422.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
21.6321.8121.99
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Long, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.002
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.07
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Long can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations - Stock Traders Daily
The fund created five year return of -2.0%
First Trust Long maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance

Evaluating First Trust's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if First Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund will invest at least 80 percent of its net assets in a portfolio of investment-grade debt securities issued or guaranteed by the U.S. government, its agencies or government-sponsored entities, including publicly-issued U.S. FT Long is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
Latest headline from news.google.com: and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations - Stock Traders Daily
The fund created five year return of -2.0%
First Trust Long maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments
When determining whether First Trust Long is a strong investment it is important to analyze First Trust's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First Trust's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Long. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Investors evaluate First Trust Long using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating First Trust's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause First Trust's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that First Trust's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether First Trust represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, First Trust's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.