Liberty Latin America Stock Performance

Stocks . USA . 
Stock . Liberty Latin America
LILA Stock  USD 7.71  -0.44  -5.40%   
Liberty Latin has performed against its sector and the broad market over time. Over the last 3 months, the expected return is -0.0333%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0100
0 · Weak
The last 90 days of data show Liberty Latin America underperforming relative to its volatility profile. Return efficiency below zero signals that holders have absorbed volatility without adequate compensation. Liberty Latin is delivering weak return efficiency relative to its risk profile, with recent data suggesting continued pressure on shareholder returns. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 800.00 in Liberty Latin America on February 6, 2026 and sold it today, you would have lost $ 29.00 , a decline of 3.62% over 90 days. Liberty Latin America does not currently generate positive expected returns and carries 2.26% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Liberty Latin exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 80% of comparable stocks, and LILA has trailed 99% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is informative when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Given a 90-day horizon, LILA has been underperforming the market. Compounding this underperformance, LILA is 2.44 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It converts risk into return at a rate of about -0.01%. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.0% per unit of volatility.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Price convergence toward a historical mean is a well-documented pattern for stocks like Liberty Latin Stock. Although this tendency is a useful forecasting input, some instruments remain persistently mispriced before market correction. Periods of persistent mispricing in some stocks highlight the role of additional risk in pricing dynamics. This framework supports more structured thinking about where Liberty Latin Stock price is likely to settle over time.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
7.71 90 days 7.71
about 91.07 %
Our distribution model estimates the likelihood of Liberty Latin moving above the current price in 90 days from now at about 91.07 %. Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (This Liberty Latin America distribution emphasizes the price range most consistent with recent behavior in Liberty Latin Stock over a 90-day period).
Given a 90-day horizon, Liberty Latin has a beta of 0.72. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Liberty Latin's average returns tend to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Liberty Latin America tends to be smaller as well. Additionally, Liberty Latin America has an alpha of 0.0823, implying that it can generate a 0.0823 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Liberty Latin Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Liberty Latin

Investors apply quantitative and fundamental models to forecast Liberty Latin America within the stock market. Combining results from different methods frames the confidence level warranted by Liberty Latin America predictions. Evaluating multiple forecasts helps separate persistent signals from short-term noise in Liberty Latin America price data. For Liberty Latin America, the combination of techniques matters more than the precision of any individual forecast.
Statistical evidence for mean reversion in Liberty Latin's appears through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Under mean reversion theory, Liberty Latin's price extremes are viewed as temporary dislocations that may self-correct. Mean reversion in Liberty Latin's is often observed around historical valuation multiples. Historical data for Liberty Latin shows that extreme valuations have tended to normalize over multi-year periods.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
5.407.669.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
5.577.8310.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.637.8910.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.818.258.68
Details
Liberty Latin is positioned within its peer group by benchmarking margins, returns, and multiples. This peer-relative view identifies where Liberty Latin leads, trails, or tracks its competitive set. Benchmarking earnings quality and balance sheet strength against peers provides additional valuation context. Liberty Latin's relative positioning within the peer group reflects its competitive dynamics as currently priced by the market.

Primary Risk Indicators

Significant market corrections and rallies over the last two decades have made the stock market challenging for Liberty Latin investors. Dramatic market moves have periodically reshaped the risk landscape for holders of Liberty Latin America. Watching for changes in Liberty Latin's volatility and market elasticity is one way to limit portfolio losses. A data-driven view of Liberty Latin risk supports more disciplined portfolio management decisions.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones		0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.72
σ
Overall volatility		0.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Investor Alerts and Insights

Tracking Liberty Latin through automated alerts focuses attention on the most impactful stock developments. Reviewing Liberty Latin America notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns and fundamental changes. Systematic monitoring of Liberty Latin through automated alerts reduces the risk of missing critical developments. Automated alert systems provide consistency that manual monitoring of Liberty Latin cannot match.
Liberty Latin generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
LILA reported previous year's revenue of $4.44 billion. Net Loss for the year was -$554.3 million with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of $3.47 billion.
About 21.0% of LILA outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Everscale Trading Down 31.6 percent This Week

Price Density Drivers

Several forces contribute to Liberty Latin's price dynamics, including buyer and seller positioning dynamics and market conditions. Monitoring Liberty Latin's price density drivers provides context for distinguishing fundamental from tactical price moves. Key market indicators for Liberty Latin reflect the combined effect of buyer and seller positioning dynamics and broader conditions. These indicators are informative when reviewed consistently alongside Liberty Latin's fundamental data.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding199.9 million
Cash And Short Term Investments13.7 million

Liberty Latin Fundamentals Growth

Market participants price Liberty Latin Stock based on their assessment of Liberty Latin's financial trajectory. Revenue and earnings growth, profitability metrics, and debt levels form the core fundamentals driving Liberty Latin Stock. Revenue growth, earnings performance, and balance sheet health are critical fundamentals shaping Liberty Latin Stock. Long-term performance of Liberty Latin Stock depends on Liberty Latin's ability to maintain strong fundamental execution.
Current Valuation9.21 B
Shares Outstanding37.8 M
Earnings Per Share-3.06 X

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Return quality for Liberty Latin evaluates how consistent and repeatable performance has been across periods. Historical patterns suggest somewhat reduced sensitivity to broader economic swings. Liberty Latin shows ROE of -41.72%, ROA of 1.13% (TTM).

Liberty Latin America data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Gabriel Shpitalnik, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
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Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and conditions page.