Lite Strategy Stock Performance

LITS Stock   1.14  0.07  5.79%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 2.13, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Lite Strategy will likely underperform. At this point, Lite Strategy has a negative expected return of -0.56%. Please make sure to verify Lite Strategy's maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, as well as the relationship between the Daily Balance Of Power and relative strength index , to decide if Lite Strategy performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Lite Strategy has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of uncertain performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
1
Contrasting Virios Therapeutics and Lite Strategy
11/11/2025
2
Acquisition by File Justin J. of 635000 shares of Lite Strategy, at 2.02 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/14/2025
3
Lite Strategy Reports First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Results Highlights Successful Launch of 100M Litecoin Treasury Strategy and Movement into Active Capital Ma...
11/17/2025
4
Acquisition by Flynn James P of 12100 shares of Lite Strategy, at 1.8824 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/19/2025
5
Director Makes Bold Move with Major Stock Purchase in Lite Strategy - TipRanks
11/20/2025
6
Acquisition by Forza Capital Management, L.l.c. of 5500 shares of Lite Strategy, at 0.9809 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/28/2025
7
Disposition of 690611 shares by Schornstein Alexander of Lite Strategy at 1.37 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/18/2025
8
Acquisition by Flynn James P of 70000 shares of Lite Strategy at 1.3957 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
9
Insider Buying James Flynn Acquires 70,000 Shares of Lite Strat - GuruFocus
12/22/2025
10
Wall Street Reboots Leverage in 153 Billion Active Stock Trades - Bloomberg.com
01/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow3.7 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities35.1 M

Lite Strategy Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  176.00  in Lite Strategy on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (62.00) from holding Lite Strategy or give up 35.23% of portfolio value over 90 days. Lite Strategy is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 5.4101% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 48% of stocks are less volatile than Lite, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Lite Strategy is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 7.23 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

Lite Strategy Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Lite Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.14 90 days 1.14 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lite Strategy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Lite Strategy probability density function shows the probability of Lite Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.13 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Lite Strategy will likely underperform. Additionally Lite Strategy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lite Strategy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lite Strategy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lite Strategy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lite Strategy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.116.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.061.136.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.066.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.151.371.60
Details

Lite Strategy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lite Strategy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lite Strategy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lite Strategy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lite Strategy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.75
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Lite Strategy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lite Strategy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lite Strategy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lite Strategy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lite Strategy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Lite Strategy may become a speculative penny stock
Lite Strategy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Lite Strategy was previously known as MEI Pharma and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol MEIP.
Net Loss for the year was (15.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Lite Strategy generates negative cash flow from operations
Lite Strategy has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Wall Street Reboots Leverage in 153 Billion Active Stock Trades - Bloomberg.com

Lite Strategy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lite Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lite Strategy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lite Strategy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18 M

Lite Strategy Fundamentals Growth

Lite Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Lite Strategy, and Lite Strategy fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Lite Stock performance.

About Lite Strategy Performance

Assessing Lite Strategy's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Lite Strategy's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Lite Strategy is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(1.00)(0.95)
Return On Capital Employed(1.19)(1.13)
Return On Assets(1.00)(0.95)
Return On Equity(0.85)(0.89)

Things to note about Lite Strategy performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lite Strategy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Lite Strategy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lite Strategy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lite Strategy has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Lite Strategy may become a speculative penny stock
Lite Strategy has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Lite Strategy was previously known as MEI Pharma and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol MEIP.
Net Loss for the year was (15.95 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Lite Strategy generates negative cash flow from operations
Lite Strategy has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Wall Street Reboots Leverage in 153 Billion Active Stock Trades - Bloomberg.com
Evaluating Lite Strategy's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Lite Strategy's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Lite Strategy's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Lite Strategy's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Lite Strategy's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Lite Strategy's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Lite Strategy's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Lite Strategy's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Lite Strategy's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Lite Strategy's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Lite Strategy's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Lite Stock Analysis

When running Lite Strategy's price analysis, check to measure Lite Strategy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lite Strategy is operating at the current time. Most of Lite Strategy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lite Strategy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lite Strategy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lite Strategy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.