Longleaf Partners Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

LLPFX Fund  USD 22.68  0.17  0.74%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.57, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Longleaf Partners' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Longleaf Partners is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Longleaf Partners Fund are ranked lower than 13 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak technical and fundamental indicators, Longleaf Partners showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
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Longleaf Partners Fund 2025 Annual Commentary - Seeking Alpha
01/15/2026
Expense Ratio Date1st of May 2025
Expense Ratio0.7900
  

Longleaf Partners Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,900  in Longleaf Partners Fund on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  368.00  from holding Longleaf Partners Fund or generate 19.37% return on investment over 90 days. Longleaf Partners Fund is currently producing 0.3116% returns and takes up 1.8671% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 16% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than LONGLEAF, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Longleaf Partners is expected to generate 2.44 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.44 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.17 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Longleaf Partners Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
22.68
Please note that Longleaf Partners' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Longleaf Partners secures a last-minute Real Value of $22.21 per share. The latest price of the fund is $22.68. We determine the value of Longleaf Partners from analyzing fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will merge together.
Since Longleaf Partners is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of LONGLEAF Mutual Fund. However, Longleaf Partners' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  22.68 Real  22.21 Hype  22.68 Naive  23.14
The intrinsic value of Longleaf Partners' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Longleaf Partners' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
22.21
Real Value
24.07
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Longleaf Partners Fund helps investors to forecast how LONGLEAF mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Longleaf Partners more accurately as focusing exclusively on Longleaf Partners' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.0021.6424.28
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.8222.6824.54
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
21.2823.1425.00
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Longleaf Partners Fund extending back to August 07, 1987. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Longleaf Partners stands at 22.68, as last reported on the 6th of February, with the highest price reaching 22.68 and the lowest price hitting 22.68 during the day.
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Longleaf Partners Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of LONGLEAF Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.68 90 days 22.68 
about 15.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Longleaf Partners to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.14 (This Longleaf Partners Fund probability density function shows the probability of LONGLEAF Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Longleaf Partners has a beta of 0.57. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Longleaf Partners average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Longleaf Partners Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Longleaf Partners Fund has an alpha of 0.2658, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Longleaf Partners Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Longleaf Partners

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Longleaf Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.8222.6824.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.3522.2124.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.2823.1425.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.0021.6424.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Longleaf Partners. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Longleaf Partners' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Longleaf Partners' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Longleaf Partners.

Longleaf Partners Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Longleaf Partners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Longleaf Partners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Longleaf Partners Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Longleaf Partners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
1.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Longleaf Partners Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Longleaf Partners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Longleaf Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Longleaf Partners Fund 2025 Annual Commentary - Seeking Alpha
The fund maintains about 19.32% of its assets in cash

Longleaf Partners Fundamentals Growth

LONGLEAF Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Longleaf Partners, and Longleaf Partners fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on LONGLEAF Mutual Fund performance.

About Longleaf Partners Performance

Evaluating Longleaf Partners' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Longleaf Partners has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Longleaf Partners has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund primarily owns common stock or securities convertible into common stock but may purchase other types of securities. The fund may invest up to 30 percent of assets in non-U.S. securities, which could include emerging market issuers, and may achieve its exposure to non-U.S. securities through investing in American depositary receipts . It is non-diversified.

Things to note about Longleaf Partners performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Longleaf Partners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Longleaf Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Longleaf Partners Fund 2025 Annual Commentary - Seeking Alpha
The fund maintains about 19.32% of its assets in cash
Evaluating Longleaf Partners' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Longleaf Partners' mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Longleaf Partners' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Longleaf Partners' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Longleaf Partners' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Longleaf Partners' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Longleaf Partners' management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Longleaf Partners' mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Longleaf Partners' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Longleaf Partners' mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Longleaf Partners' mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in LONGLEAF Mutual Fund

Longleaf Partners financial ratios help investors to determine whether LONGLEAF Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in LONGLEAF with respect to the benefits of owning Longleaf Partners security.
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