Lundin Gold Stock Performance

LUG Stock  CAD 108.97  1.14  1.06%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.58, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Lundin Gold's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Lundin Gold is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Lundin Gold has a negative expected return of -0.0151%. Please make sure to verify Lundin Gold's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Lundin Gold performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
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Over the last 90 days Lundin Gold has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy technical and fundamental indicators, Lundin Gold is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow268 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-93.5 M
  

Lundin Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  11,355  in Lundin Gold on November 12, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (458.00) from holding Lundin Gold or give up 4.03% of portfolio value over 90 days. Lundin Gold is producing return of less than zero assuming 3.1768% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 28% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Lundin Gold, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lundin Gold is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.92 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Lundin Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Lundin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 108.97 90 days 108.97 
about 80.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lundin Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.26 (This Lundin Gold probability density function shows the probability of Lundin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lundin Gold has a beta of 0.58. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lundin Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lundin Gold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lundin Gold has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lundin Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lundin Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lundin Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
104.58107.78110.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
89.0192.21118.61
Details

Lundin Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lundin Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lundin Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lundin Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lundin Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
5.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Lundin Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lundin Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lundin Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lundin Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lundin Gold has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Lundin Gold has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lundin Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lundin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lundin Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lundin Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding241.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments349.2 M

Lundin Gold Fundamentals Growth

Lundin Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Lundin Gold, and Lundin Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Lundin Stock performance.

About Lundin Gold Performance

By examining Lundin Gold's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Lundin Gold's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Lundin Gold is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
The company holds interests in 30 mining concessions covering an area of approximately 64,406 hectares located in Southeast Ecuador. Lundin Gold Inc. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada. LUNDIN GOLD operates under Industrial Metals Minerals classification in Canada and is traded on Toronto Stock Exchange. It employs 1645 people.

Things to note about Lundin Gold performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lundin Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Lundin Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lundin Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lundin Gold has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Lundin Gold has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Lundin Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Lundin Gold's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Lundin Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Lundin Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Lundin Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Lundin Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Lundin Gold's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Lundin Gold's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Lundin Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Lundin Gold's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Lundin Gold's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Lundin Stock

Lundin Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lundin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lundin with respect to the benefits of owning Lundin Gold security.