Luna Innovations Incorporated Stock Performance
| LUNA Stock | USD 1.55 0.10 6.90% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Luna Innovations holds a performance score of 1. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.44, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Luna Innovations are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Luna Innovations is likely to outperform the market. Please check Luna Innovations' treynor ratio, kurtosis, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Luna Innovations' current price movements will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Luna Innovations Incorporated are ranked lower than 1 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat inconsistent basic indicators, Luna Innovations sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 7.9 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -15.9 M |
Luna |
Luna Innovations Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 175.00 in Luna Innovations Incorporated on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (20.00) from holding Luna Innovations Incorporated or give up 11.43% of portfolio value over 90 days. Luna Innovations Incorporated is currently generating 0.2247% in daily expected returns and assumes 9.2791% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 83% of pink sheets are less volatile than Luna, and 96% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Luna Innovations Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Luna Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.55 | 90 days | 1.55 | about 10.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Luna Innovations to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 10.33 (This Luna Innovations Incorporated probability density function shows the probability of Luna Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Luna Innovations Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Luna Innovations
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Luna Innovations. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Luna Innovations Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Luna Innovations is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Luna Innovations' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Luna Innovations Incorporated, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Luna Innovations within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.19 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Luna Innovations Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Luna Innovations for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Luna Innovations can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Luna Innovations had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Luna Innovations may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 116.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 68.8 M. | |
| Luna Innovations Incorporated currently holds about 7.89 M in cash with (13.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Luna Innovations Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Luna Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Luna Innovations' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Luna Innovations' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6 M |
Luna Innovations Fundamentals Growth
Luna Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Luna Innovations, and Luna Innovations fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Luna Pink Sheet performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0123 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0055 | |||
| Profit Margin | (0.02) % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.04 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 71.23 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 34.7 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 17.66 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.39 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 0.32 X | |||
| Revenue | 116.61 M | |||
| EBITDA | 6.89 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 7.89 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.24 X | |||
| Total Debt | 28.32 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.30 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.79 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (13.42 M) | |||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.03) X | |||
| Total Asset | 151.01 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | (2.3 M) | |||
| Current Asset | 38.75 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 15.33 M | |||
About Luna Innovations Performance
By analyzing Luna Innovations' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Luna Innovations' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Luna Innovations has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Luna Innovations has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Luna Innovations Incorporated develops, manufactures, and markets fiber optic test, measurement, and control products worldwide. Luna Innovations Incorporated was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Roanoke, Virginia. Luna Innovations operates under Scientific Technical Instruments classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 385 people.Things to note about Luna Innovations performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Luna Innovations for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Luna Innovations help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Luna Innovations had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Luna Innovations may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 116.61 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.12 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 68.8 M. | |
| Luna Innovations Incorporated currently holds about 7.89 M in cash with (13.42 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.24. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing Luna Innovations' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Luna Innovations' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Luna Innovations' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Luna Innovations' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Luna Innovations' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Luna Innovations' pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Luna Innovations' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for Luna Pink Sheet analysis
When running Luna Innovations' price analysis, check to measure Luna Innovations' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Luna Innovations is operating at the current time. Most of Luna Innovations' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Luna Innovations' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Luna Innovations' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Luna Innovations to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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