Mastercard (Germany) Performance

M4I Stock  EUR 436.70  4.30  0.98%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.25, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mastercard's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mastercard is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Mastercard has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to verify Mastercard's value at risk, skewness, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and kurtosis , to decide if Mastercard performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Mastercard has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest fragile performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain stable and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-run gains for the company stockholders. ...more
  

Mastercard Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  47,439  in Mastercard on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (3,769) from holding Mastercard or give up 7.94% of portfolio value over 90 days. Mastercard is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 1.3082% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 11% of traded stocks are less volatile than Mastercard, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mastercard is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 1.73 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Mastercard Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Mastercard Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 436.70 90 days 436.70 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mastercard to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Mastercard probability density function shows the probability of Mastercard Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mastercard has a beta of 0.25. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mastercard average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mastercard will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mastercard has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mastercard Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mastercard

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mastercard. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
435.41436.70437.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
339.34340.63480.37
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
425.66426.95428.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
434.82473.94513.06
Details

Mastercard Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mastercard is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mastercard's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mastercard, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mastercard within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
14.25
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Mastercard Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mastercard for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mastercard can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mastercard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Mastercard Fundamentals Growth

Mastercard Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mastercard, and Mastercard fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mastercard Stock performance.

About Mastercard Performance

By analyzing Mastercard's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Mastercard's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Mastercard has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Mastercard has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Mastercard Incorporated, a technology company, provides transaction processing and other payment-related products and services in the United States and internationally. Mastercard Incorporated was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Purchase, New York. MASTERCARD INC operates under Credit Services classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 21000 people.

Things to note about Mastercard performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mastercard for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Mastercard help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mastercard generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Mastercard's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Mastercard's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Mastercard's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mastercard's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Mastercard's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Mastercard's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mastercard's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mastercard's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Mastercard's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Mastercard's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Mastercard's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Mastercard Stock analysis

When running Mastercard's price analysis, check to measure Mastercard's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mastercard is operating at the current time. Most of Mastercard's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mastercard's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mastercard's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mastercard to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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