First Trust Vivaldi Etf Performance

MARB Etf  USD 20.72  0.03  0.14%   
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0896, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Trust's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Trust is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust Vivaldi are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat strong basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The newest stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
1
Movement Within Algorithmic Entry Frameworks - news.stocktradersdaily.com
11/18/2025
2
The Technical Signals Behind That Institutions Follow - Stock Traders Daily
01/12/2026
3
First Trust ETF cuts fee, shifts from merger arbitrage to market-neutral - Stock Titan
01/27/2026

First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,038  in First Trust Vivaldi on November 5, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  34.00  from holding First Trust Vivaldi or generate 1.67% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust Vivaldi is currently generating 0.0278% in daily expected returns and assumes 0.2197% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 1% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust is expected to generate 2.7 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 3.45 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.1 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Vivaldi extending back to February 05, 2020. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 20.72, as last reported on the 3rd of February, with the highest price reaching 20.73 and the lowest price hitting 20.67 during the day.
3 y Volatility
3.25
200 Day MA
20.4836
1 y Volatility
2.28
50 Day MA
20.6669
Inception Date
2020-02-04
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.72 90 days 20.72 
about 12.43
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.43 (This First Trust Vivaldi probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days First Trust has a beta of 0.0896. This indicates as returns on the market go up, First Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Trust Vivaldi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Trust Vivaldi has an alpha of 0.0288, implying that it can generate a 0.0288 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Trust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Trust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust Vivaldi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5020.7220.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.4620.6820.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
20.4820.7020.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.6020.6820.76
Details

First Trust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust Vivaldi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

First Trust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Trust Vivaldi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

First Trust Fundamentals Growth

First Etf prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Trust, and First Trust fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Etf performance.

About First Trust Performance

By analyzing First Trust's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Trust's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Under normal market conditions, the fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by establishing long and short positions in the equity securities of companies that are involved in a publicly-announced significant corporate event, such as a merger or acquisition. First Trust is traded on NYSEARCA Exchange in the United States.
When determining whether First Trust Vivaldi offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Trust's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Trust Vivaldi Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Trust Vivaldi Etf:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Trust Vivaldi. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in poverty.
You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Understanding First Trust Vivaldi requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects First's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what First Trust's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push First Trust's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that First Trust's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether First Trust represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, First Trust's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.