MBIA (Germany) Performance

MBJ Stock  EUR 5.40  0.05  0.92%   
The firm secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0765, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning MBIA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, MBIA is likely to outperform the market. At this point, MBIA has a negative expected return of -0.21%. Please make sure to verify MBIA's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the total risk alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if MBIA performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days MBIA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's forward-looking indicators remain comparatively stable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The newest uproar may also be a sign of mid-term up-swing for the firm private investors. ...more
1
KBW Maintains MBIA With Buy Rating, Raises Target Price to 8.5 -
11/19/2025
2
MBIA Shares Cross Below Fifty Day Moving Average - Whats Next - MarketBeat
01/14/2026
3
Why Price Action Is Critical for Tactical Trading - Stock Traders Daily
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow108 M
Free Cash Flow-176 M
  

MBIA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  620.00  in MBIA on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (80.00) from holding MBIA or give up 12.9% of portfolio value over 90 days. MBIA is producing return of less than zero assuming 2.2123% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 19% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than MBIA, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MBIA is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.95 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.09 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

MBIA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of MBIA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.40 90 days 5.40 
over 95.47
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MBIA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.47 (This MBIA probability density function shows the probability of MBIA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MBIA has a beta of -0.0765. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MBIA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MBIA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MBIA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MBIA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MBIA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MBIA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.165.377.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.544.756.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.175.397.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.125.706.28
Details

MBIA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MBIA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MBIA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MBIA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MBIA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

MBIA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MBIA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MBIA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MBIA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MBIA has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 42 M. Net Loss for the year was (444 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
MBIA generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why Price Action Is Critical for Tactical Trading - Stock Traders Daily

MBIA Fundamentals Growth

MBIA Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MBIA, and MBIA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MBIA Stock performance.

About MBIA Performance

Assessing MBIA's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into MBIA's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the MBIA is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
MBIA is entity of Germany. It is traded as Stock on DU exchange.

Things to note about MBIA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about MBIA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MBIA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MBIA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MBIA has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 42 M. Net Loss for the year was (444 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
MBIA generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why Price Action Is Critical for Tactical Trading - Stock Traders Daily
Evaluating MBIA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate MBIA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing MBIA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MBIA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining MBIA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating MBIA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MBIA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MBIA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into MBIA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating MBIA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact MBIA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for MBIA Stock Analysis

When running MBIA's price analysis, check to measure MBIA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MBIA is operating at the current time. Most of MBIA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MBIA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MBIA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MBIA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.