MultiChoice Group Performance

The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.13, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, MultiChoice's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MultiChoice is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, MultiChoice Group has a negative expected return of -3.7%. Please make sure to verify MultiChoice's variance and skewness , to decide if MultiChoice Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days MultiChoice Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The current disturbance may also be a sign of long term up-swing for the company investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow8.5 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-5.2 B
  

MultiChoice Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  697.00  in MultiChoice Group on October 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (778.00) from holding MultiChoice Group or give up 111.62% of portfolio value over 90 days. MultiChoice Group is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 19.9894% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, most equities are less risky on the basis of their return distribution than MultiChoice, and majority of traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon MultiChoice is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 26.48 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.19 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

MultiChoice Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of MultiChoice Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
(0.81)90 days(0.81)
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MultiChoice to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This MultiChoice Group probability density function shows the probability of MultiChoice Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon MultiChoice has a beta of 0.13. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MultiChoice average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MultiChoice Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MultiChoice Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MultiChoice Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MultiChoice

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MultiChoice Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
-0.05-0.9819.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
-0.04-0.7919.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-1.664.6610.97
Details

MultiChoice Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MultiChoice is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MultiChoice's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MultiChoice Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MultiChoice within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
2.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

MultiChoice Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MultiChoice for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MultiChoice Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MultiChoice Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
MultiChoice Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MultiChoice Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
MultiChoice Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
MultiChoice Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
MultiChoice Group has accumulated 2.72 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.04, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. MultiChoice Group has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist MultiChoice until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MultiChoice's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MultiChoice Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for MultiChoice to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MultiChoice's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

MultiChoice Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MultiChoice Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MultiChoice's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MultiChoice's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding439 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.2 B

MultiChoice Fundamentals Growth

MultiChoice Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MultiChoice, and MultiChoice fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MultiChoice Pink Sheet performance.

About MultiChoice Performance

Evaluating MultiChoice's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if MultiChoice has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if MultiChoice has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
MultiChoice Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates video-entertainment subscriber platforms in South Africa, rest of Africa, Europe, and internationally. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Randburg, South Africa. Multichoice operates under Entertainment classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 7204 people.

Things to note about MultiChoice Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about MultiChoice for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for MultiChoice Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MultiChoice Group is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
MultiChoice Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MultiChoice Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
MultiChoice Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
MultiChoice Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
MultiChoice Group has accumulated 2.72 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 2.04, implying the company greatly relies on financing operations through barrowing. MultiChoice Group has a current ratio of 0.81, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist MultiChoice until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, MultiChoice's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like MultiChoice Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for MultiChoice to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about MultiChoice's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Evaluating MultiChoice's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate MultiChoice's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing MultiChoice's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MultiChoice's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining MultiChoice's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating MultiChoice's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MultiChoice's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MultiChoice's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into MultiChoice's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating MultiChoice's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact MultiChoice's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

Other Consideration for investing in MultiChoice Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in MultiChoice Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the MultiChoice's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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