First Trust (Mexico) Performance
| MDIV Etf | MXN 292.19 1.05 0.36% |
The etf shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0058, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Trust is likely to outperform the market.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Solid
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Trust ETF are ranked lower than 17 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
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First Trust Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 28,765 in First Trust ETF on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 454.00 from holding First Trust ETF or generate 1.58% return on investment over 90 days. First Trust ETF is generating 0.0257% of daily returns and assumes 0.1184% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 1% of etfs are less volatile than First, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
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First Trust Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of First Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 292.19 | 90 days | 292.19 | about 6.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Trust to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 6.93 (This First Trust ETF probability density function shows the probability of First Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Trust ETF has a beta of -0.0058. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Trust ETF is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Trust ETF has an alpha of 0.0162, implying that it can generate a 0.0162 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). First Trust Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for First Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Trust ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.First Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Trust ETF, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.About First Trust Performance
Evaluating First Trust's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if First Trust has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Trust has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.