Megaron SA (Poland) Performance

MEG Stock   5.70  0.65  10.24%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Megaron SA holds a performance score of 5. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.63, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Megaron SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Megaron SA is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Megaron SA's jensen alpha, semi variance, day typical price, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether Megaron SA's current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Megaron SA are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively weak basic indicators, Megaron SA reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
  

Megaron SA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  500.00  in Megaron SA on November 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  70.00  from holding Megaron SA or generate 14.0% return on investment over 90 days. Megaron SA is generating 0.3433% of daily returns and assumes 4.8725% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 43% of stocks are less volatile than Megaron, and 94% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Megaron SA is expected to generate 6.37 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 6.37 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.07 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Megaron SA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Megaron Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5.70 90 days 5.70 
about 61.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Megaron SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 61.5 (This Megaron SA probability density function shows the probability of Megaron Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Megaron SA has a beta of 0.63. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Megaron SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Megaron SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Megaron SA has an alpha of 0.2695, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Megaron SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Megaron SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Megaron SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Megaron SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.

Megaron SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Megaron SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Megaron SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Megaron SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Megaron SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.63
σ
Overall volatility
0.65
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Megaron SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Megaron SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Megaron SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Megaron SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Things to note about Megaron SA performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Megaron SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Megaron SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Megaron SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Evaluating Megaron SA's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Megaron SA's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Megaron SA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Megaron SA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Megaron SA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Megaron SA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Megaron SA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Megaron SA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Megaron SA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Megaron SA's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Megaron SA's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Megaron Stock Analysis

When running Megaron SA's price analysis, check to measure Megaron SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Megaron SA is operating at the current time. Most of Megaron SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Megaron SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Megaron SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Megaron SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.