MERCU Performance

MERCU Crypto  USD 0.000061  0.000002  3.17%   
The crypto secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0533, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, MERCU's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MERCU is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days MERCU has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Crypto's fundamental indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for MERCU shareholders. ...more
1
Bitcoin Options Traders Eye 100,000 Following Year-End Meltdown - Bloomberg.com
01/06/2026
2
Crypto Billionaires Try to Build a Moderate Counterforce in California Politics - The New York Times
01/30/2026
  

MERCU Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  0.01  in MERCU on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose  0.00  from holding MERCU or give up 26.51% of portfolio value over 90 days. MERCU is generating negative expected returns and assumes 2.3515% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 21% of crypto coins are less volatile than MERCU, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MERCU is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.13 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.2 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

MERCU Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of MERCU Crypto Coin price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.000061 90 days 0.000061 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MERCU to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This MERCU probability density function shows the probability of MERCU Crypto Coin to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MERCU has a beta of 0.0533. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MERCU average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MERCU will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MERCU has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MERCU Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MERCU

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MERCU. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the crypto coin market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the crypto coin market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MERCU's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0000692.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000572.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000010.0000532.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.0000710.0000710.000071
Details

MERCU Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MERCU is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MERCU's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MERCU, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MERCU within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.41
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.000005
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

MERCU Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MERCU for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MERCU can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MERCU generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MERCU has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
Latest headline from news.google.com: Crypto Billionaires Try to Build a Moderate Counterforce in California Politics - The New York Times

About MERCU Performance

By analyzing MERCU's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into MERCU's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if MERCU has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if MERCU has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
MERCU is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.
MERCU generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MERCU has some characteristics of a very speculative cryptocurrency
Latest headline from news.google.com: Crypto Billionaires Try to Build a Moderate Counterforce in California Politics - The New York Times
When determining whether MERCU offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MERCU's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mercu Crypto.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in MERCU. Also, note that the market value of any cryptocurrency could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between MERCU's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine MERCU value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, MERCU's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.