The Merger Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

MERIX Fund  USD 17.03  0.01  0.06%   
The entity has a beta of 0.0401, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, the Merger's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding the Merger is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The Merger Fund are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong forward indicators, The Merger is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
...more
Expense Ratio Date28th of April 2025
Expense Ratio1.2700
  

The Merger Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,687  in The Merger Fund on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  16.00  from holding The Merger Fund or generate 0.95% return on investment over 90 days. The Merger Fund is currently producing 0.0158% returns and takes up 0.0685% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than The, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Merger is expected to generate 5.29 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 10.96 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

The Merger Current Valuation

Overvalued
Today
17.03
Please note that The Merger's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the fund appears to be overvalued. Merger Fund has a current Real Value of $15.65 per share. The regular price of the fund is $17.03. We determine the value of Merger Fund from inspecting fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we recommend acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other.
Since The Merger is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of The Mutual Fund. However, The Merger's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  17.03 Real  15.65 Hype  17.03 Naive  17.01
The intrinsic value of The Merger's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence The Merger's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
15.65
Real Value
18.73
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of The Merger Fund helps investors to forecast how The mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of The Merger more accurately as focusing exclusively on The Merger's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.9817.0217.07
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.9617.0317.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.9417.0117.08
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for The Merger Fund extending back to August 01, 2013. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of The Merger stands at 17.03, as last reported on the 4th of February, with the highest price reaching 17.03 and the lowest price hitting 17.03 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

The Merger Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of The Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 17.03 90 days 17.03 
about 12.64
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of The Merger to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 12.64 (This The Merger Fund probability density function shows the probability of The Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon The Merger has a beta of 0.0401. This indicates as returns on the market go up, The Merger average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Merger Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Merger Fund has an alpha of 0.0044, implying that it can generate a 0.0044 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   The Merger Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for The Merger

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Merger Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.9617.0317.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5815.6518.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.9417.0117.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.9817.0217.07
Details

The Merger Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. The Merger is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the The Merger's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Merger Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of The Merger within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.54

The Merger Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of The Merger for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Merger Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 25.76% of its assets in cash

The Merger Fundamentals Growth

The Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of The Merger, and The Merger fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on The Mutual Fund performance.

About The Merger Performance

Evaluating The Merger's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if The Merger has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if The Merger has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Under normal market conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its total assets principally in the common stock, preferred stock and, occasionally, warrants of companies which are involved in publicly announced mergers, takeovers, tender offers, leveraged buyouts, spin-offs, liquidations and other corporate reorganizations. Merger arbitrage is a highly specialized investment approach generally designed to profit from the successful completion of such transactions.

Things to note about Merger Fund performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about The Merger for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Merger Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 25.76% of its assets in cash
Evaluating The Merger's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate The Merger's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing The Merger's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether The Merger's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining The Merger's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating The Merger's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of The Merger's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of The Merger's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into The Merger's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating The Merger's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact The Merger's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in The Mutual Fund

The Merger financial ratios help investors to determine whether The Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in The with respect to the benefits of owning The Merger security.
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world