Mfa Financial Preferred Stock Performance

MFA-PC Preferred Stock  USD 23.02  0.02  0.09%   
The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.0858, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, MFA Financial's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MFA Financial is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, MFA Financial has a negative expected return of -0.0292%. Please make sure to verify MFA Financial's treynor ratio, skewness, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and value at risk , to decide if MFA Financial performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days MFA Financial has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound basic indicators, MFA Financial is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow821.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.2 B
  

MFA Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  2,344  in MFA Financial on October 28, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (42.00) from holding MFA Financial or give up 1.79% of portfolio value over 90 days. MFA Financial is producing return of less than zero assuming 0.3051% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 2% of all preferred stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than MFA Financial, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MFA Financial is expected to under-perform the market. But the company apears to be less risky and when comparing its historical volatility, the company is 2.42 times less risky than the market. the firm trades about -0.1 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

MFA Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of MFA Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 23.02 90 days 23.02 
about 65.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MFA Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 65.13 (This MFA Financial probability density function shows the probability of MFA Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MFA Financial has a beta of 0.0858. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MFA Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MFA Financial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MFA Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MFA Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MFA Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MFA Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.9323.2423.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.8023.1123.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.8523.1523.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
22.7222.8923.06
Details

MFA Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MFA Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MFA Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MFA Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MFA Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.32

MFA Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MFA Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MFA Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MFA Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MFA Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Net Lease Office Properties Declares Special Cash Distribution of 6.75 Per Share

MFA Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MFA Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MFA Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFA Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding432.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments304.7 M

MFA Financial Fundamentals Growth

MFA Preferred Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MFA Financial, and MFA Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MFA Preferred Stock performance.

About MFA Financial Performance

By analyzing MFA Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into MFA Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if MFA Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if MFA Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
MFA Financial, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate investment trust in the United States. MFA Financial, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Mfa Financial operates under REITMortgage classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 65 people.

Things to note about MFA Financial performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about MFA Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Preferred Stock alerts and notifications screener for MFA Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MFA Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MFA Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Net Lease Office Properties Declares Special Cash Distribution of 6.75 Per Share
Evaluating MFA Financial's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate MFA Financial's preferred stock performance include:
  • Analyzing MFA Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MFA Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining MFA Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating MFA Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MFA Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MFA Financial's preferred stock. These opinions can provide insight into MFA Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating MFA Financial's preferred stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact MFA Financial's preferred stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running MFA Financial's price analysis, check to measure MFA Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MFA Financial is operating at the current time. Most of MFA Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MFA Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MFA Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MFA Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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