Mfa Financial Stock Performance
| MFA Stock | USD 10.14 0.15 1.50% |
MFA Financial has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.91, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. MFA Financial returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, MFA Financial is expected to follow. MFA Financial at this time owns a risk of 1.42%. Please verify MFA Financial treynor ratio, expected short fall, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and potential upside , to decide if MFA Financial will be following its current price history.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Fair
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in MFA Financial are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat inconsistent technical and fundamental indicators, MFA Financial may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 488.2 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -424.6 M |
MFA Financial Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 870.00 in MFA Financial on November 2, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 94.00 from holding MFA Financial or generate 10.8% return on investment over 90 days. MFA Financial is generating 0.1783% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4226% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than MFA, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
MFA Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of MFA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 10.14 | 90 days | 10.14 | roughly 2.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MFA Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 2.28 (This MFA Financial probability density function shows the probability of MFA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon MFA Financial has a beta of 0.91. This indicates MFA Financial market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, MFA Financial is expected to follow. Additionally MFA Financial has an alpha of 0.1366, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MFA Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MFA Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MFA Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MFA Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MFA Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MFA Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MFA Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MFA Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.91 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
MFA Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MFA Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MFA Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MFA Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
MFA Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MFA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MFA Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFA Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 105.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 338.9 M |
MFA Financial Fundamentals Growth
MFA Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MFA Financial, and MFA Financial fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MFA Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.0694 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.011 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.46 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.56 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 10.62 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 102.2 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 9.77 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 0.57 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.73 X | ||||
| Revenue | 279.61 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 504.09 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 338.93 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 4.26 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 9.2 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 3.60 % | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 17.82 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 200.12 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.86 X | ||||
| Total Asset | 11.41 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (1.88 B) | ||||
| Current Asset | 289.94 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 7.57 B | ||||
About MFA Financial Performance
By analyzing MFA Financial's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into MFA Financial's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if MFA Financial has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if MFA Financial has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
MFA Financial, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a real estate investment trust in the United States. MFA Financial, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in New York, New York. MFA Financial operates under REITMortgage classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 298 people.Things to note about MFA Financial performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about MFA Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MFA Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MFA Financial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
- Analyzing MFA Financial's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MFA Financial's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining MFA Financial's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating MFA Financial's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MFA Financial's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MFA Financial's stock. These opinions can provide insight into MFA Financial's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for MFA Stock analysis
When running MFA Financial's price analysis, check to measure MFA Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MFA Financial is operating at the current time. Most of MFA Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MFA Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MFA Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MFA Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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