Mainfreight Limited Performance

MFGHFDelisted Stock  USD 39.60  0.00  0.00%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.35, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Mainfreight will likely underperform. Mainfreight Limited right now secures a risk of 0.0%. Please verify Mainfreight Limited potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to decide if Mainfreight Limited will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Mainfreight Limited has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable technical indicators, Mainfreight is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow139.6 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-189.1 M
  

Mainfreight Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,960  in Mainfreight Limited on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  0.00  from holding Mainfreight Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment over 90 days. Mainfreight Limited is currently producing negative expected returns and takes up 0.0% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 0% of traded pink sheets are less volatile than Mainfreight, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  

Mainfreight Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Mainfreight Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 39.60 90 days 39.60 
about 48.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mainfreight to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 48.42 (This Mainfreight Limited probability density function shows the probability of Mainfreight Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.35 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mainfreight will likely underperform. Additionally Mainfreight Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mainfreight Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mainfreight

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mainfreight Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.6039.6039.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.7933.7943.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.4939.4939.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.6039.6039.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mainfreight. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mainfreight's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mainfreight's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mainfreight Limited.

Mainfreight Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mainfreight is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mainfreight's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mainfreight Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mainfreight within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.1
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.35
σ
Overall volatility
1.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Mainfreight Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mainfreight for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mainfreight Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mainfreight Limited is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Mainfreight Limited has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Mainfreight Fundamentals Growth

Mainfreight Pink Sheet prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mainfreight, and Mainfreight fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mainfreight Pink Sheet performance.

About Mainfreight Performance

By analyzing Mainfreight's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Mainfreight's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Mainfreight has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Mainfreight has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Mainfreight Limited provides supply chain logistics services in New Zealand, Australia, the Americas, Europe, and Asia. Mainfreight Limited was incorporated in 1978 and is based in Auckland, New Zealand. Mainfreight operates under Integrated Freight Logistics classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 10393 people.

Things to note about Mainfreight Limited performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mainfreight for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Pink Sheet alerts and notifications screener for Mainfreight Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mainfreight Limited is not yet fully synchronised with the market data
Mainfreight Limited has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
About 18.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating Mainfreight's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Mainfreight's pink sheet performance include:
  • Analyzing Mainfreight's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mainfreight's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Mainfreight's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Mainfreight's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mainfreight's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mainfreight's pink sheet. These opinions can provide insight into Mainfreight's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Mainfreight's pink sheet performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Mainfreight's pink sheet market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

Other Consideration for investing in Mainfreight Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Mainfreight Limited check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Mainfreight's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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