Marygold Companies Stock Performance

MGLD Stock  USD 1.11  -0.02  -1.77%   
Marygold Companies has performed against its sector and the broad market over time. Over the last 3 months, the expected return is 0.21%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
0High
2 · Soft
Marygold Companies currently ranks below 2% of comparable global equities and portfolios when recent risk-adjusted returns are measured across a 90-day horizon. At micro-cap scale, institutional coverage and secondary-market liquidity are typically well established. Marygold Companies has delivered strong risk-adjusted returns over recent months, suggesting the current trend may have further room to run. Learn More

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 110.00 in Marygold Companies on February 10, 2026 and sold it today, you would have earned $ 1.00 , a return of 0.91% over 90 days. Marygold Companies is currently generating a 0.213% daily expected return and carries 6.55% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In relative terms, Marygold Companies exhibits above-average volatility, exceeding roughly 42% of comparable stocks, and MGLD has trailed 96% of traded instruments in return over the 90-day horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This benchmark view frames the instrument through return capture and volatility trade-offs. It is informative when expected return is read together with volatility rather than in isolation. Given a 90-day horizon, MGLD generates 7.14 times more return on investment than the market. However, MGLD is 7.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. Its risk-adjusted efficiency stands at about 0.03% per unit of risk. Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.01% per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

Changes in sentiment, liquidity, and macro conditions can cause Marygold Stock to trade above or below historical valuation norms for extended periods. In some cases, prices remain disconnected from underlying fundamentals until broader market conditions shift. Market pricing may also incorporate forward-looking expectations that differ from historical trading behavior. Forecasting models that incorporate valuation, volatility, and momentum together may provide a more realistic assessment of future price behavior.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
1.11 90 days 1.11
about 50.0 %
Our distribution model estimates the likelihood of Marygold Companies moving above the current price in 90 days from now at about 50.0 %. Past return patterns over this horizon reflect a distribution that has favored above-current-price scenarios. (This Marygold Companies distribution emphasizes the price range most consistent with recent behavior in Marygold Stock over a 90-day period).
Given a 90-day horizon, Marygold Companies has a beta of -1.26. This indicates as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on Marygold Companies tend to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoil, Marygold Companies tends to outperform its benchmark. Additionally, Marygold Companies has an alpha of 0.3359, implying that it can generate a 0.3359 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Marygold Companies Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Marygold Companies

Investors apply quantitative and fundamental models to forecast Marygold Companies within the stock market. Combining results from different methods frames the confidence level warranted by Marygold Companies predictions. Evaluating multiple forecasts helps separate persistent signals from short-term noise in Marygold Companies price data. For Marygold Companies, the combination of techniques matters more than the precision of any individual forecast.
Statistical evidence for mean reversion in Marygold Companies' appears through its tendency to revert after extreme valuations. Under mean reversion theory, Marygold Companies' price extremes are viewed as temporary dislocations that may self-correct. Mean reversion in Marygold Companies' is often observed around historical valuation multiples. Historical data for Marygold Companies shows that extreme valuations have tended to normalize over multi-year periods.
Sentiment
Range
LowSentimentHigh
0.061.117.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowIntrinsicHigh
0.050.947.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.197.74
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.051.141.23
Details
Marygold Companies is positioned within its peer group by benchmarking margins, returns, and multiples. This peer-relative view identifies where Marygold Companies leads, trails, or tracks its competitive set. Benchmarking earnings quality and balance sheet strength against peers provides additional valuation context. Marygold Companies's relative positioning within the peer group reflects its competitive dynamics as currently priced by the market.

Primary Risk Indicators

Significant market corrections and rallies over the last two decades have made the stock market challenging for Marygold Companies investors. Dramatic market moves have periodically reshaped the risk landscape for holders of Marygold Companies. Watching for changes in Marygold Companies' volatility and market elasticity is one way to limit portfolio losses. A data-driven view of Marygold Companies risk supports more disciplined portfolio management decisions.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.07
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Investor Alerts and Insights

Tracking Marygold Companies through automated alerts focuses attention on the most impactful stock developments. Reviewing Marygold Companies notifications is an efficient way to stay current on technical patterns and fundamental changes. Systematic monitoring of Marygold Companies through automated alerts reduces the risk of missing critical developments. Automated alert systems provide consistency that manual monitoring of Marygold Companies cannot match.
Marygold Companies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Marygold Companies may become a speculative penny stock
MGLD reported previous year's revenue of $30.15 million. Net Loss for the year was -$5.82 million with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of $21.18 million.
Marygold Companies currently holds about $17.98 million in cash as of latest reporting with -$3.32 million of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.46.
Roughly 76.0% of MGLD outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Marygold swings toward profit on higher fund AUM and strategic exits - Stock Titan

Price Density Drivers

Several forces contribute to Marygold Companies' price dynamics, including buyer and seller positioning dynamics and market conditions. Monitoring Marygold Companies' price density drivers provides context for distinguishing fundamental from tactical price moves. Key market indicators for Marygold Companies reflect the combined effect of buyer and seller positioning dynamics and broader conditions. These indicators are informative when reviewed consistently alongside Marygold Companies's fundamental data.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding41.7 million
Cash And Short Term Investments12.83 million

Marygold Companies Fundamentals Growth

Market participants price Marygold Stock based on their assessment of Marygold Companies' financial trajectory. Revenue and earnings growth, profitability metrics, and debt levels form the core fundamentals driving Marygold Stock. Revenue growth, earnings performance, and balance sheet health are critical fundamentals shaping Marygold Stock. Long-term performance of Marygold Stock depends on Marygold Companies' ability to maintain strong fundamental execution.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Drawdown analysis for Marygold Companies measures how deep losses have been and how long recovery has taken historically. Downside movements have historically remained relatively contained. Marygold Companies shows ROE of -14.86%, ROA of -9.44% (TTM).

Marygold Companies data is compiled from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and standardized for comparability. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

Editorial review and methodology oversight provided by: Gabriel Shpitalnik, Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board