MilDef Group (Sweden) Performance

MILDEF Stock   126.10  0.30  0.24%   
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.4, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, MilDef Group's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MilDef Group is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, MilDef Group AB has a negative expected return of -0.19%. Please make sure to verify MilDef Group's maximum drawdown, daily balance of power, relative strength index, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if MilDef Group AB performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days MilDef Group AB has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest uncertain performance, the Stock's essential indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors. ...more
Begin Period Cash Flow46.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-187.2 M
  

MilDef Group Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  14,590  in MilDef Group AB on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,980) from holding MilDef Group AB or give up 13.57% of portfolio value over 90 days. MilDef Group AB is generating negative expected returns and assumes 3.6169% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 32% of stocks are less volatile than MilDef, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MilDef Group is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 4.82 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.11 per unit of volatility.

MilDef Group Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of MilDef Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 126.10 90 days 126.10 
about 75.5
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MilDef Group to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 75.5 (This MilDef Group AB probability density function shows the probability of MilDef Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MilDef Group has a beta of 0.4. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MilDef Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MilDef Group AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MilDef Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   MilDef Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MilDef Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MilDef Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MilDef Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
122.48126.10129.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
106.99110.61138.71
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
109.03112.64116.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
113.91132.77151.63
Details

MilDef Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MilDef Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MilDef Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MilDef Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MilDef Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.40
σ
Overall volatility
12.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

MilDef Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MilDef Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MilDef Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MilDef Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MilDef Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 469.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (700 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 352.3 M.
MilDef Group generates negative cash flow from operations
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

MilDef Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MilDef Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MilDef Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MilDef Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments169.2 M

MilDef Group Fundamentals Growth

MilDef Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MilDef Group, and MilDef Group fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MilDef Stock performance.

About MilDef Group Performance

By analyzing MilDef Group's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into MilDef Group's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if MilDef Group has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if MilDef Group has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about MilDef Group AB performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about MilDef Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MilDef Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MilDef Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
MilDef Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the revenue of 469.6 M. Net Loss for the year was (700 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 352.3 M.
MilDef Group generates negative cash flow from operations
About 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Evaluating MilDef Group's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate MilDef Group's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing MilDef Group's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MilDef Group's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining MilDef Group's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating MilDef Group's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MilDef Group's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MilDef Group's stock. These opinions can provide insight into MilDef Group's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating MilDef Group's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact MilDef Group's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running MilDef Group's price analysis, check to measure MilDef Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MilDef Group is operating at the current time. Most of MilDef Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MilDef Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MilDef Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MilDef Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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