FirstCaution (France) Performance
| MLFIR Stock | EUR 27.00 0.00 0.00% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -1.03, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market becomes more bullish, returns on owning FirstCaution are expected to decrease slowly. On the other hand, during market turmoil, FirstCaution is expected to outperform it slightly. At this point, FirstCaution SA has a negative expected return of -0.63%. Please make sure to confirm FirstCaution's jensen alpha and rate of daily change , to decide if FirstCaution SA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days FirstCaution SA has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with weak performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain relatively invariable which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest agitation may also be a sign of long-running up-swing for the enterprise retail investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0038 | Ex Dividend Date 2021-10-18 |
1 | MT Hjgaard Holding And 2 Other European Small Caps With Promising Potential - simplywall.st | 12/17/2025 |
| Price Earnings Ratio | 72.973 | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0059 |
FirstCaution |
FirstCaution Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 4,661 in FirstCaution SA on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,961) from holding FirstCaution SA or give up 42.07% of portfolio value over 90 days. FirstCaution SA is generating negative expected returns and assumes 6.5722% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 59% of stocks are less volatile than FirstCaution, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
FirstCaution Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of FirstCaution Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 27.00 | 90 days | 27.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of FirstCaution to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This FirstCaution SA probability density function shows the probability of FirstCaution Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
FirstCaution Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for FirstCaution
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FirstCaution SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FirstCaution Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. FirstCaution is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the FirstCaution's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold FirstCaution SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of FirstCaution within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
FirstCaution Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of FirstCaution for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for FirstCaution SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FirstCaution SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FirstCaution SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| FirstCaution SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
FirstCaution Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of FirstCaution Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential FirstCaution's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FirstCaution's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0059 | |
| Shares Float | 133.4 K |
FirstCaution Fundamentals Growth
FirstCaution Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of FirstCaution, and FirstCaution fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on FirstCaution Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.0528 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.006 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.02) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.02) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 76.46 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 3.78 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 10.29 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 5.23 X | ||||
| Revenue | 19.52 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 8.91 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (11.71 K) | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 2.62 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.37 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 102.05 M | ||||
About FirstCaution Performance
Assessing FirstCaution's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into FirstCaution's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the FirstCaution is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.03 | 0.03 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | 0.18 |
Things to note about FirstCaution SA performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about FirstCaution for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for FirstCaution SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| FirstCaution SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| FirstCaution SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| FirstCaution SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
- Analyzing FirstCaution's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether FirstCaution's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining FirstCaution's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating FirstCaution's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of FirstCaution's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of FirstCaution's stock. These opinions can provide insight into FirstCaution's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for FirstCaution Stock Analysis
When running FirstCaution's price analysis, check to measure FirstCaution's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FirstCaution is operating at the current time. Most of FirstCaution's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FirstCaution's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FirstCaution's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FirstCaution to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.